**Mojtaba Khamenei has remained out of public view since succeeding his father as Iran's Supreme Leader in March 2026, following the February 28 US-Israeli airstrike that killed Ali Khamenei and injured Mojtaba.** Iranian officials, including President Masoud Pezeshkian, have repeatedly affirmed in September 2026 statements that he is alive, recovering, and exercising final authority from a secure domestic location, attributing speculation about his condition or absence to foreign propaganda amid ongoing conflict and assassination risks. Reports of severe injuries, possible treatment abroad (including unverified mentions of Russia), or collective decision-making have fueled questions about his whereabouts, yet regime sources and analysts emphasize security-driven concealment inside Iran rather than departure. No confirmed public appearances, videos, or direct communications have emerged, sustaining trader focus on whether security threats, health needs, or political pressures could prompt an exit before any market deadline. Recent military appointments attributed to him and written statements on war and economy underscore continuity claims without resolving location uncertainty.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$117,838 Wol.
Oct 31, 2026
October 31
3%
December 31
4%
$117,838 Wol.
October 31
$119 Wol.
3%
December 31
$806 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei was outside Iran at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Both the presence outside Iran and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A presence outside Iran occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed.
Mojtaba Khamenei need not depart Iran during the market window, nor remain outside Iran at the time of confirmation. If he was already outside Iran at market creation, his confirmed presence outside Iran during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to Iran.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If no qualifying confirmation occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Mojtaba Khamenei has remained out of public view since succeeding his father as Iran's Supreme Leader in March 2026, following the February 28 US-Israeli airstrike that killed Ali Khamenei and injured Mojtaba.** Iranian officials, including President Masoud Pezeshkian, have repeatedly affirmed in September 2026 statements that he is alive, recovering, and exercising final authority from a secure domestic location, attributing speculation about his condition or absence to foreign propaganda amid ongoing conflict and assassination risks. Reports of severe injuries, possible treatment abroad (including unverified mentions of Russia), or collective decision-making have fueled questions about his whereabouts, yet regime sources and analysts emphasize security-driven concealment inside Iran rather than departure. No confirmed public appearances, videos, or direct communications have emerged, sustaining trader focus on whether security threats, health needs, or political pressures could prompt an exit before any market deadline. Recent military appointments attributed to him and written statements on war and economy underscore continuity claims without resolving location uncertainty.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei was outside Iran at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Both the presence outside Iran and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A presence outside Iran occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed.
Mojtaba Khamenei need not depart Iran during the market window, nor remain outside Iran at the time of confirmation. If he was already outside Iran at market creation, his confirmed presence outside Iran during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to Iran.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If no qualifying confirmation occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Both the presence outside Iran and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A presence outside Iran occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed.
Mojtaba Khamenei need not depart Iran during the market window, nor remain outside Iran at the time of confirmation. If he was already outside Iran at market creation, his confirmed presence outside Iran during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to Iran.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If no qualifying confirmation occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 18, 2026, 12:48 PM ET
Wolumen
$117,838Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 12:48 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei was outside Iran at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Both the presence outside Iran and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A presence outside Iran occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed.
Mojtaba Khamenei need not depart Iran during the market window, nor remain outside Iran at the time of confirmation. If he was already outside Iran at market creation, his confirmed presence outside Iran during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to Iran.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If no qualifying confirmation occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Mojtaba Khamenei has remained out of public view since succeeding his father as Iran's Supreme Leader in March 2026, following the February 28 US-Israeli airstrike that killed Ali Khamenei and injured Mojtaba.** Iranian officials, including President Masoud Pezeshkian, have repeatedly affirmed in September 2026 statements that he is alive, recovering, and exercising final authority from a secure domestic location, attributing speculation about his condition or absence to foreign propaganda amid ongoing conflict and assassination risks. Reports of severe injuries, possible treatment abroad (including unverified mentions of Russia), or collective decision-making have fueled questions about his whereabouts, yet regime sources and analysts emphasize security-driven concealment inside Iran rather than departure. No confirmed public appearances, videos, or direct communications have emerged, sustaining trader focus on whether security threats, health needs, or political pressures could prompt an exit before any market deadline. Recent military appointments attributed to him and written statements on war and economy underscore continuity claims without resolving location uncertainty.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei was outside Iran at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Both the presence outside Iran and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A presence outside Iran occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed.
Mojtaba Khamenei need not depart Iran during the market window, nor remain outside Iran at the time of confirmation. If he was already outside Iran at market creation, his confirmed presence outside Iran during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to Iran.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If no qualifying confirmation occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Both the presence outside Iran and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A presence outside Iran occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed.
Mojtaba Khamenei need not depart Iran during the market window, nor remain outside Iran at the time of confirmation. If he was already outside Iran at market creation, his confirmed presence outside Iran during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to Iran.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If no qualifying confirmation occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$117,838Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 12:48 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...**Mojtaba Khamenei has remained out of public view since succeeding his father as Iran's Supreme Leader in March 2026, following the February 28 US-Israeli airstrike that killed Ali Khamenei and injured Mojtaba.** Iranian officials, including President Masoud Pezeshkian, have repeatedly affirmed in September 2026 statements that he is alive, recovering, and exercising final authority from a secure domestic location, attributing speculation about his condition or absence to foreign propaganda amid ongoing conflict and assassination risks. Reports of severe injuries, possible treatment abroad (including unverified mentions of Russia), or collective decision-making have fueled questions about his whereabouts, yet regime sources and analysts emphasize security-driven concealment inside Iran rather than departure. No confirmed public appearances, videos, or direct communications have emerged, sustaining trader focus on whether security threats, health needs, or political pressures could prompt an exit before any market deadline. Recent military appointments attributed to him and written statements on war and economy underscore continuity claims without resolving location uncertainty.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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