Recent diplomatic efforts by US envoys have failed to break the stalemate in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, leaving trader consensus heavily favoring no near-term peace agreement at 93.5% implied probability. Both sides maintain entrenched positions on territory and security guarantees, with Russia pressing advances in Donbas while Ukraine rejects concessions that could reward aggression. Ongoing strikes on infrastructure mirror a back-and-forth matchup where neither side shows signs of fatigue or lineup shifts that might open scoring opportunities. Historical patterns of prolonged engagements and recent failed negotiation rounds underscore the competitive balance, with no clear path to resolution absent major developments in form or external pressure.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano7% szansa
$618,141 Wol.
$618,141 Wol.
Dec 30, 2026
7% szansa
$618,141 Wol.
$618,141 Wol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdfRecent diplomatic efforts by US envoys have failed to break the stalemate in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, leaving trader consensus heavily favoring no near-term peace agreement at 93.5% implied probability. Both sides maintain entrenched positions on territory and security guarantees, with Russia pressing advances in Donbas while Ukraine rejects concessions that could reward aggression. Ongoing strikes on infrastructure mirror a back-and-forth matchup where neither side shows signs of fatigue or lineup shifts that might open scoring opportunities. Historical patterns of prolonged engagements and recent failed negotiation rounds underscore the competitive balance, with no clear path to resolution absent major developments in form or external pressure.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
Rynek otwarty: Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ET
Wolumen
$618,141Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdfRecent diplomatic efforts by US envoys have failed to break the stalemate in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, leaving trader consensus heavily favoring no near-term peace agreement at 93.5% implied probability. Both sides maintain entrenched positions on territory and security guarantees, with Russia pressing advances in Donbas while Ukraine rejects concessions that could reward aggression. Ongoing strikes on infrastructure mirror a back-and-forth matchup where neither side shows signs of fatigue or lineup shifts that might open scoring opportunities. Historical patterns of prolonged engagements and recent failed negotiation rounds underscore the competitive balance, with no clear path to resolution absent major developments in form or external pressure.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire
- Ukraine agrees not to join NATO
- Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Russia+x+Ukraine+2026+Peace+Parlay.pdf
Wolumen
$618,141Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 24, 2025, 12:22 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Recent diplomatic efforts by US envoys have failed to break the stalemate in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, leaving trader consensus heavily favoring no near-term peace agreement at 93.5% implied probability. Both sides maintain entrenched positions on territory and security guarantees, with Russia pressing advances in Donbas while Ukraine rejects concessions that could reward aggression. Ongoing strikes on infrastructure mirror a back-and-forth matchup where neither side shows signs of fatigue or lineup shifts that might open scoring opportunities. Historical patterns of prolonged engagements and recent failed negotiation rounds underscore the competitive balance, with no clear path to resolution absent major developments in form or external pressure.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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