Republican control of the House currently blocks articles of impeachment despite multiple resolutions filed by Democrats, including efforts by Rep. Al Green citing abuse of power and other charges. Trader pricing at 61.5% for impeachment before January 2029 largely reflects forecasts that Democrats will flip the chamber in the 2026 midterms amid Trump's approval ratings near 37-40% and polling showing a majority of Americans see grounds for removal. Historical patterns of midterm losses for the president's party, combined with ongoing legislative disputes and public opinion trends, support the view that a Democratic majority could advance proceedings, though Senate conviction would still require bipartisan support.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWill Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
62% szansa
$89,044 Wol.
$89,044 Wol.
Jan 20, 2029
62% szansa
$89,044 Wol.
$89,044 Wol.
Jan 20, 2029
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of the House currently blocks articles of impeachment despite multiple resolutions filed by Democrats, including efforts by Rep. Al Green citing abuse of power and other charges. Trader pricing at 61.5% for impeachment before January 2029 largely reflects forecasts that Democrats will flip the chamber in the 2026 midterms amid Trump's approval ratings near 37-40% and polling showing a majority of Americans see grounds for removal. Historical patterns of midterm losses for the president's party, combined with ongoing legislative disputes and public opinion trends, support the view that a Democratic majority could advance proceedings, though Senate conviction would still require bipartisan support.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Rynek otwarty: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Wolumen
$89,044Data zakończenia
Jan 20, 2029Rynek otwarty
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of the House currently blocks articles of impeachment despite multiple resolutions filed by Democrats, including efforts by Rep. Al Green citing abuse of power and other charges. Trader pricing at 61.5% for impeachment before January 2029 largely reflects forecasts that Democrats will flip the chamber in the 2026 midterms amid Trump's approval ratings near 37-40% and polling showing a majority of Americans see grounds for removal. Historical patterns of midterm losses for the president's party, combined with ongoing legislative disputes and public opinion trends, support the view that a Democratic majority could advance proceedings, though Senate conviction would still require bipartisan support.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Wolumen
$89,044Data zakończenia
Jan 20, 2029Rynek otwarty
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Republican control of the House currently blocks articles of impeachment despite multiple resolutions filed by Democrats, including efforts by Rep. Al Green citing abuse of power and other charges. Trader pricing at 61.5% for impeachment before January 2029 largely reflects forecasts that Democrats will flip the chamber in the 2026 midterms amid Trump's approval ratings near 37-40% and polling showing a majority of Americans see grounds for removal. Historical patterns of midterm losses for the president's party, combined with ongoing legislative disputes and public opinion trends, support the view that a Democratic majority could advance proceedings, though Senate conviction would still require bipartisan support.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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