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Polityka·Trump

Kto odwiedził wyspę Epsteina?

Market icon
Polityka·Trump

Kto odwiedził wyspę Epsteina?

$1,758,914 Wol.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$1,758,914 Wol.

Polymarket

Steven Tisch

$5,023 Wol.

15%

Steve Bannon

$60,506 Wol.

11%

Woody Allen

$15,098 Wol.

9%

Deepak Chopra

$14,351 Wol.

9%

Noam Chomsky

$26,230 Wol.

7%

Bill Gates

$112,291 Wol.

5%

Bill Clinton

$276,425 Wol.

5%

Harvey Weinstein

$20,076 Wol.

5%

Donald Trump

$140,711 Wol.

4%

Kevin Spacey

$32,606 Wol.

4%

Jay-Z

$580,499 Wol.

4%

Bill Cosby

$13,105 Wol.

3%

Peter Attia

$7,737 Wol.

3%

Michael Jackson

$158,729 Wol.

3%

Hillary Clinton

$45,055 Wol.

2%

Elon Musk

$83,478 Wol.

2%

Marco Rubio

$38,691 Wol.

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket's "Who visited Epstein's Island?" market reflects caution amid the U.S. Department of Justice's January 2026 release of over three million pages from the Jeffrey Epstein investigation—the largest and final planned disclosure—including emails involving figures like Elon Musk, Howard Lutnick, Steve Tisch, and Bill Gates, but no new verified Little St. James visitor logs or geolocation data confirming additional high-profile trips. Prior flight logs and 2024 WIRED phone-tracking analysis identified some visitors, yet most named individuals deny island travel, with outcomes trading low due to absent direct evidence distinguishing associations from physical presence. No further document releases or court hearings are scheduled, leaving resolution dependent on definitive proofs emerging from file reviews.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$1,758,914
Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Feb 12, 2026, 5:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket's "Who visited Epstein's Island?" market reflects caution amid the U.S. Department of Justice's January 2026 release of over three million pages from the Jeffrey Epstein investigation—the largest and final planned disclosure—including emails involving figures like Elon Musk, Howard Lutnick, Steve Tisch, and Bill Gates, but no new verified Little St. James visitor logs or geolocation data confirming additional high-profile trips. Prior flight logs and 2024 WIRED phone-tracking analysis identified some visitors, yet most named individuals deny island travel, with outcomes trading low due to absent direct evidence distinguishing associations from physical presence. No further document releases or court hearings are scheduled, leaving resolution dependent on definitive proofs emerging from file reviews.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Wolumen
$1,758,914
Data zakończenia
Jun 30, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Feb 12, 2026, 5:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Często zadawane pytania

"Kto odwiedził wyspę Epsteina?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 18 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Richard Branson" z 100%, za nim "Steven Tisch" z 15%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 100¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 100% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Kto odwiedził wyspę Epsteina?" wygenerował $1.8 million łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Feb 12, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Kto odwiedził wyspę Epsteina?", przeglądaj 18 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Kto odwiedził wyspę Epsteina?" jest "Richard Branson" z 100%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 100% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Steven Tisch" z 15%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Kto odwiedził wyspę Epsteina?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.