Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval near 37-38 percent, shaped primarily by sustained public concern over the Iran conflict's costs and broader economic pressures including inflation and energy prices. Multiple surveys from mid-to-late September, including Marquette and Reuters/Ipsos, show approval holding in the mid-30s with limited movement, as voters weigh foreign policy outcomes against domestic conditions ahead of the November midterms. Trader consensus clustering tightly around 38-39 percent reflects this narrow range of recent data releases, while the distribution across adjacent bins underscores uncertainty over whether any short-term diplomatic or economic signals before September 25 will produce measurable shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano38.0–38.4 30%
38.5–38.9 30%
39.0–39.4 20%
37.5–37.9 14%
<37.5
9%
37.5–37.9
14%
38.0–38.4
30%
38.5–38.9
30%
39.0–39.4
20%
39.5+
8%
38.0–38.4 30%
38.5–38.9 30%
39.0–39.4 20%
37.5–37.9 14%
<37.5
9%
37.5–37.9
14%
38.0–38.4
30%
38.5–38.9
30%
39.0–39.4
20%
39.5+
8%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 20, 2026, 10:03 AM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval near 37-38 percent, shaped primarily by sustained public concern over the Iran conflict's costs and broader economic pressures including inflation and energy prices. Multiple surveys from mid-to-late September, including Marquette and Reuters/Ipsos, show approval holding in the mid-30s with limited movement, as voters weigh foreign policy outcomes against domestic conditions ahead of the November midterms. Trader consensus clustering tightly around 38-39 percent reflects this narrow range of recent data releases, while the distribution across adjacent bins underscores uncertainty over whether any short-term diplomatic or economic signals before September 25 will produce measurable shifts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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