Recent UK CPI data showing a rise to 2.9% in July 2026 from 2.6% in June, alongside Bank of England projections of a near-term peak near 3.2% in Q4 2026 driven by energy price pass-through from geopolitical factors, underpin trader positioning in the U.K. Annual Inflation 2026 market. Independent forecasts in the August 2026 Treasury survey cluster around 3.3-3.4% for Q4 levels, while market-implied odds remain closely contested between the 2.5-2.9% and 3.5-3.9% ranges amid uncertainty over second-round wage and price effects, labor market slack, and the Bank Rate path held at 3.75%. Elevated one-year inflation expectations near 3.9-4% in recent surveys add to the balanced outlook, with resolution hinging on upcoming CPI prints and MPC communications through year-end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoU.K. Annual Inflation 2026
3.5–3.9% 23.1%
2.5–2.9% 21.3%
2.0–2.4% 10.8%
4.0-4.4% 11%
$75,373 Wol.
$75,373 Wol.
<1.0%
<1%
1.0–1.4%
3%
1.5–1.9%
5%
2.0–2.4%
11%
2.5–2.9%
21%
3.0–3.4%
-
3.5–3.9%
23%
4.0-4.4%
11%
4.5%+
8%
3.5–3.9% 23.1%
2.5–2.9% 21.3%
2.0–2.4% 10.8%
4.0-4.4% 11%
$75,373 Wol.
$75,373 Wol.
<1.0%
<1%
1.0–1.4%
3%
1.5–1.9%
5%
2.0–2.4%
11%
2.5–2.9%
21%
3.0–3.4%
-
3.5–3.9%
23%
4.0-4.4%
11%
4.5%+
8%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
Rynek otwarty: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
Rozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Recent UK CPI data showing a rise to 2.9% in July 2026 from 2.6% in June, alongside Bank of England projections of a near-term peak near 3.2% in Q4 2026 driven by energy price pass-through from geopolitical factors, underpin trader positioning in the U.K. Annual Inflation 2026 market. Independent forecasts in the August 2026 Treasury survey cluster around 3.3-3.4% for Q4 levels, while market-implied odds remain closely contested between the 2.5-2.9% and 3.5-3.9% ranges amid uncertainty over second-round wage and price effects, labor market slack, and the Bank Rate path held at 3.75%. Elevated one-year inflation expectations near 3.9-4% in recent surveys add to the balanced outlook, with resolution hinging on upcoming CPI prints and MPC communications through year-end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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