Recent ISM Services PMI readings near 54, including July's 54.1 print that edged above June's 54.0 but missed the 54.5 consensus, anchor trader expectations for August's release on September 3. The closely matched probabilities across the 52.0–54.9 range reflect uncertainty over whether services activity will sustain its 25-month expansion streak amid persistent inflation pressures, elevated mortgage rates, and tariff-related cost concerns. Stronger business activity and new orders components in July support the market's tilt toward 53–54 outcomes, while employment contraction and broader labor market data introduce downside risks. Traders weigh these against resilient GDP trends and manufacturing strength when assessing the implied probability distribution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoISM Services PMI - August 2026
ISM Services PMI - August 2026
56.0–56.9 27%
53.0–53.9 25%
54.0–54.9 24%
52.0–52.9 20%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 3, 2026
<50.0
4%
50.0–50.9
17%
51.0–51.9
10%
52.0–52.9
20%
53.0–53.9
25%
54.0–54.9
24%
55.0–55.9
11%
56.0–56.9
27%
57.0–57.9
12%
58.0+
34%
56.0–56.9 27%
53.0–53.9 25%
54.0–54.9 24%
52.0–52.9 20%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 3, 2026
<50.0
$20 Wol.
4%
50.0–50.9
$25 Wol.
17%
51.0–51.9
$60 Wol.
10%
52.0–52.9
$122 Wol.
20%
53.0–53.9
$63 Wol.
25%
54.0–54.9
$40 Wol.
24%
55.0–55.9
$20 Wol.
11%
56.0–56.9
$20 Wol.
27%
57.0–57.9
$20 Wol.
12%
58.0+
$58 Wol.
34%
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent ISM Services PMI readings near 54, including July's 54.1 print that edged above June's 54.0 but missed the 54.5 consensus, anchor trader expectations for August's release on September 3. The closely matched probabilities across the 52.0–54.9 range reflect uncertainty over whether services activity will sustain its 25-month expansion streak amid persistent inflation pressures, elevated mortgage rates, and tariff-related cost concerns. Stronger business activity and new orders components in July support the market's tilt toward 53–54 outcomes, while employment contraction and broader labor market data introduce downside risks. Traders weigh these against resilient GDP trends and manufacturing strength when assessing the implied probability distribution.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$448Data zakończenia
Sep 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent ISM Services PMI readings near 54, including July's 54.1 print that edged above June's 54.0 but missed the 54.5 consensus, anchor trader expectations for August's release on September 3. The closely matched probabilities across the 52.0–54.9 range reflect uncertainty over whether services activity will sustain its 25-month expansion streak amid persistent inflation pressures, elevated mortgage rates, and tariff-related cost concerns. Stronger business activity and new orders components in July support the market's tilt toward 53–54 outcomes, while employment contraction and broader labor market data introduce downside risks. Traders weigh these against resilient GDP trends and manufacturing strength when assessing the implied probability distribution.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for August 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for August 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for August 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on September 3, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Wolumen
$448Data zakończenia
Sep 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ISM Services PMI readings near 54, including July's 54.1 print that edged above June's 54.0 but missed the 54.5 consensus, anchor trader expectations for August's release on September 3. The closely matched probabilities across the 52.0–54.9 range reflect uncertainty over whether services activity will sustain its 25-month expansion streak amid persistent inflation pressures, elevated mortgage rates, and tariff-related cost concerns. Stronger business activity and new orders components in July support the market's tilt toward 53–54 outcomes, while employment contraction and broader labor market data introduce downside risks. Traders weigh these against resilient GDP trends and manufacturing strength when assessing the implied probability distribution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania