Recent strong May nonfarm payrolls of 172,000, well above consensus, combined with inflation holding near 3.3–3.8% have narrowed the gap in trader expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike sometime in 2026. With the policy rate steady in the 3.50–3.75% range, market-implied odds sit near even as participants weigh resilient labor conditions and above-target price pressures against the Fed’s recent signals of patience. The June 16–17 FOMC meeting, upcoming CPI and employment releases, and any shift in the dot plot will serve as key swing factors that could push probabilities decisively higher or lower.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPodwyżka stawek Fed w 2026 roku?
Podwyżka stawek Fed w 2026 roku?
Tak
$1,584,360 Wol.
$1,584,360 Wol.
Dec 9, 2026
Tak
$1,584,360 Wol.
$1,584,360 Wol.
Dec 9, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent strong May nonfarm payrolls of 172,000, well above consensus, combined with inflation holding near 3.3–3.8% have narrowed the gap in trader expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike sometime in 2026. With the policy rate steady in the 3.50–3.75% range, market-implied odds sit near even as participants weigh resilient labor conditions and above-target price pressures against the Fed’s recent signals of patience. The June 16–17 FOMC meeting, upcoming CPI and employment releases, and any shift in the dot plot will serve as key swing factors that could push probabilities decisively higher or lower.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,584,360Data zakończenia
Dec 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent strong May nonfarm payrolls of 172,000, well above consensus, combined with inflation holding near 3.3–3.8% have narrowed the gap in trader expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike sometime in 2026. With the policy rate steady in the 3.50–3.75% range, market-implied odds sit near even as participants weigh resilient labor conditions and above-target price pressures against the Fed’s recent signals of patience. The June 16–17 FOMC meeting, upcoming CPI and employment releases, and any shift in the dot plot will serve as key swing factors that could push probabilities decisively higher or lower.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$1,584,360Data zakończenia
Dec 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent strong May nonfarm payrolls of 172,000, well above consensus, combined with inflation holding near 3.3–3.8% have narrowed the gap in trader expectations for a Federal Reserve rate hike sometime in 2026. With the policy rate steady in the 3.50–3.75% range, market-implied odds sit near even as participants weigh resilient labor conditions and above-target price pressures against the Fed’s recent signals of patience. The June 16–17 FOMC meeting, upcoming CPI and employment releases, and any shift in the dot plot will serve as key swing factors that could push probabilities decisively higher or lower.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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