Recent hotter-than-expected August CPI data, with core prices rising 0.3% month-over-month and headline inflation at 3.4%, combined with solid nonfarm payrolls and a hawkish Jackson Hole address from new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, have driven market-implied odds for a September 25-basis-point hike above 85%. Traders interpret these signals as evidence that the central bank views inflation risks as elevated enough to warrant tightening from the current 3.50-3.75% target range, raising the likelihood of at least one additional move before year-end. The upcoming FOMC meeting and September dot plot remain key near-term catalysts shaping consensus around further policy normalization.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPodwyżka stawek Fed w 2026 roku?
Podwyżka stawek Fed w 2026 roku?
Tak
87% szansa
$9,202,565 Wol.
$9,202,565 Wol.
Dec 8, 2026
Tak
87% szansa
$9,202,565 Wol.
$9,202,565 Wol.
Dec 8, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent hotter-than-expected August CPI data, with core prices rising 0.3% month-over-month and headline inflation at 3.4%, combined with solid nonfarm payrolls and a hawkish Jackson Hole address from new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, have driven market-implied odds for a September 25-basis-point hike above 85%. Traders interpret these signals as evidence that the central bank views inflation risks as elevated enough to warrant tightening from the current 3.50-3.75% target range, raising the likelihood of at least one additional move before year-end. The upcoming FOMC meeting and September dot plot remain key near-term catalysts shaping consensus around further policy normalization.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ET
Wolumen
$9,202,565Data zakończenia
Dec 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent hotter-than-expected August CPI data, with core prices rising 0.3% month-over-month and headline inflation at 3.4%, combined with solid nonfarm payrolls and a hawkish Jackson Hole address from new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, have driven market-implied odds for a September 25-basis-point hike above 85%. Traders interpret these signals as evidence that the central bank views inflation risks as elevated enough to warrant tightening from the current 3.50-3.75% target range, raising the likelihood of at least one additional move before year-end. The upcoming FOMC meeting and September dot plot remain key near-term catalysts shaping consensus around further policy normalization.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the Fed's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate change decision following its December meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$9,202,565Data zakończenia
Dec 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 10, 2025, 4:09 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Recent hotter-than-expected August CPI data, with core prices rising 0.3% month-over-month and headline inflation at 3.4%, combined with solid nonfarm payrolls and a hawkish Jackson Hole address from new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, have driven market-implied odds for a September 25-basis-point hike above 85%. Traders interpret these signals as evidence that the central bank views inflation risks as elevated enough to warrant tightening from the current 3.50-3.75% target range, raising the likelihood of at least one additional move before year-end. The upcoming FOMC meeting and September dot plot remain key near-term catalysts shaping consensus around further policy normalization.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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