Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires in mid-May 2026, anchoring trader consensus around the May 15–22 window at 100 percent. No verified statements or actions from the White House, Senate, or Powell himself indicate an earlier departure, while the statutory four-year term structure and historical precedent of chairs serving full terms limit alternatives. This pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing low near-term risk of resignation, removal, or health-related exit before the scheduled date. Late developments such as an unanticipated presidential decision, Senate pressure, or personal circumstances could still shift timing within the resolution period.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhen will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
May 15–22 100.0%
Before May 15 <1%
May 23–29 <1%
May 30–June 5 <1%
$303,232 Wol.
$303,232 Wol.
Jul 3, 2026
Before May 15
No
May 15–22
Yes
May 23–29
No
May 30–June 5
No
June 6–12
No
June 13–19
No
June 20–26
No
June 27–July 3
No
After July 3
No
May 15–22 100.0%
Before May 15 <1%
May 23–29 <1%
May 30–June 5 <1%
$303,232 Wol.
$303,232 Wol.
Jul 3, 2026
Before May 15
$36,952 Wol.
No
May 15–22
$141,224 Wol.
Yes
May 23–29
$25,809 Wol.
No
May 30–June 5
$19,292 Wol.
No
June 6–12
$13,359 Wol.
No
June 13–19
$11,235 Wol.
No
June 20–26
$15,267 Wol.
No
June 27–July 3
$17,147 Wol.
No
After July 3
$22,948 Wol.
No
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires in mid-May 2026, anchoring trader consensus around the May 15–22 window at 100 percent. No verified statements or actions from the White House, Senate, or Powell himself indicate an earlier departure, while the statutory four-year term structure and historical precedent of chairs serving full terms limit alternatives. This pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing low near-term risk of resignation, removal, or health-related exit before the scheduled date. Late developments such as an unanticipated presidential decision, Senate pressure, or personal circumstances could still shift timing within the resolution period.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
Wolumen
$303,232Data zakończenia
Jul 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires in mid-May 2026, anchoring trader consensus around the May 15–22 window at 100 percent. No verified statements or actions from the White House, Senate, or Powell himself indicate an earlier departure, while the statutory four-year term structure and historical precedent of chairs serving full terms limit alternatives. This pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing low near-term risk of resignation, removal, or health-related exit before the scheduled date. Late developments such as an unanticipated presidential decision, Senate pressure, or personal circumstances could still shift timing within the resolution period.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$303,232Data zakończenia
Jul 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires in mid-May 2026, anchoring trader consensus around the May 15–22 window at 100 percent. No verified statements or actions from the White House, Senate, or Powell himself indicate an earlier departure, while the statutory four-year term structure and historical precedent of chairs serving full terms limit alternatives. This pricing reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing low near-term risk of resignation, removal, or health-related exit before the scheduled date. Late developments such as an unanticipated presidential decision, Senate pressure, or personal circumstances could still shift timing within the resolution period.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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