Persistent inflation pressures and elevated Treasury issuance tied to fiscal deficits are the dominant forces lifting the 10-year yield, which stood near 4.71 percent on August 21, 2026, up roughly 45 basis points year-over-year. Sticky core CPI readings, resilient growth, and term-premium expansion from heavy supply have outweighed expectations for Federal Reserve easing, keeping market-implied forward rates elevated despite prior policy cuts. Traders are closely watching the September FOMC meeting, upcoming CPI and employment data, and quarterly refunding announcements for signals on whether yields can sustain levels above 4.8–5.0 percent into 2027 or retreat on cooler inflation or slower growth.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$287,426 Wol.
Dec 30, 2026
4.8%
67%
5.0%
26%
5.2%
9%
5.5%
6%
5.7%
4%
6.0%
4%
$287,426 Wol.
4.8%
$59,865 Wol.
67%
5.0%
$81,666 Wol.
26%
5.2%
$26,382 Wol.
9%
5.5%
$5,832 Wol.
6%
5.7%
$4,262 Wol.
4%
6.0%
$3,134 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Persistent inflation pressures and elevated Treasury issuance tied to fiscal deficits are the dominant forces lifting the 10-year yield, which stood near 4.71 percent on August 21, 2026, up roughly 45 basis points year-over-year. Sticky core CPI readings, resilient growth, and term-premium expansion from heavy supply have outweighed expectations for Federal Reserve easing, keeping market-implied forward rates elevated despite prior policy cuts. Traders are closely watching the September FOMC meeting, upcoming CPI and employment data, and quarterly refunding announcements for signals on whether yields can sustain levels above 4.8–5.0 percent into 2027 or retreat on cooler inflation or slower growth.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Rynek otwarty: Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
Wolumen
$287,426Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Persistent inflation pressures and elevated Treasury issuance tied to fiscal deficits are the dominant forces lifting the 10-year yield, which stood near 4.71 percent on August 21, 2026, up roughly 45 basis points year-over-year. Sticky core CPI readings, resilient growth, and term-premium expansion from heavy supply have outweighed expectations for Federal Reserve easing, keeping market-implied forward rates elevated despite prior policy cuts. Traders are closely watching the September FOMC meeting, upcoming CPI and employment data, and quarterly refunding announcements for signals on whether yields can sustain levels above 4.8–5.0 percent into 2027 or retreat on cooler inflation or slower growth.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Wolumen
$287,426Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent inflation pressures and elevated Treasury issuance tied to fiscal deficits are the dominant forces lifting the 10-year yield, which stood near 4.71 percent on August 21, 2026, up roughly 45 basis points year-over-year. Sticky core CPI readings, resilient growth, and term-premium expansion from heavy supply have outweighed expectations for Federal Reserve easing, keeping market-implied forward rates elevated despite prior policy cuts. Traders are closely watching the September FOMC meeting, upcoming CPI and employment data, and quarterly refunding announcements for signals on whether yields can sustain levels above 4.8–5.0 percent into 2027 or retreat on cooler inflation or slower growth.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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