Powell’s 14-year term as a Fed governor runs through January 2028, anchoring trader expectations that he will remain on the Board of Governors well beyond his May 2026 departure as chair. After Kevin Warsh’s Senate confirmation and swearing-in, Powell publicly committed to staying in a low-profile governor role to help safeguard institutional independence amid prior political and legal pressures. Recent developments include his August 2026 sale of a Maryland waterfront property and continued low visibility, with no official signals of resignation or removal. Market-implied odds for an exit by year-end 2026 therefore reflect the statutory term length, historical precedent of governors completing terms, and limited near-term catalysts such as FOMC meetings or regulatory actions that could alter his position.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoJerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
Jerome Powell out of Fed Board by…?
$446,277 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
16%
$446,277 Wol.
December 31
$159,686 Wol.
16%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Powell’s 14-year term as a Fed governor runs through January 2028, anchoring trader expectations that he will remain on the Board of Governors well beyond his May 2026 departure as chair. After Kevin Warsh’s Senate confirmation and swearing-in, Powell publicly committed to staying in a low-profile governor role to help safeguard institutional independence amid prior political and legal pressures. Recent developments include his August 2026 sale of a Maryland waterfront property and continued low visibility, with no official signals of resignation or removal. Market-implied odds for an exit by year-end 2026 therefore reflect the statutory term length, historical precedent of governors completing terms, and limited near-term catalysts such as FOMC meetings or regulatory actions that could alter his position.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Wolumen
$446,277Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Powell’s 14-year term as a Fed governor runs through January 2028, anchoring trader expectations that he will remain on the Board of Governors well beyond his May 2026 departure as chair. After Kevin Warsh’s Senate confirmation and swearing-in, Powell publicly committed to staying in a low-profile governor role to help safeguard institutional independence amid prior political and legal pressures. Recent developments include his August 2026 sale of a Maryland waterfront property and continued low visibility, with no official signals of resignation or removal. Market-implied odds for an exit by year-end 2026 therefore reflect the statutory term length, historical precedent of governors completing terms, and limited near-term catalysts such as FOMC meetings or regulatory actions that could alter his position.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Wolumen
$446,277Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Powell’s 14-year term as a Fed governor runs through January 2028, anchoring trader expectations that he will remain on the Board of Governors well beyond his May 2026 departure as chair. After Kevin Warsh’s Senate confirmation and swearing-in, Powell publicly committed to staying in a low-profile governor role to help safeguard institutional independence amid prior political and legal pressures. Recent developments include his August 2026 sale of a Maryland waterfront property and continued low visibility, with no official signals of resignation or removal. Market-implied odds for an exit by year-end 2026 therefore reflect the statutory term length, historical precedent of governors completing terms, and limited near-term catalysts such as FOMC meetings or regulatory actions that could alter his position.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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