President Trump's April 15 threat to fire Jerome Powell from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors—unless he resigns after his Chair term expires May 15—has sharpened trader consensus, with Polymarket odds implying a 57% probability of Powell's full departure by December 31, 2026, versus 28% by May 30. Powell's governor term extends to January 2028, and he has affirmed staying until successor Kevin Warsh is Senate-confirmed, whose hearing looms April 21 amid Democratic pushback over Warsh's $100 million+ disclosures including crypto holdings. This feud underscores tensions over Fed independence, where "for cause" removal faces legal hurdles, potentially influencing monetary policy expectations, Treasury yields, and FOMC rate decisions through summer.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$137,801 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
May 30
28%
December 31
57%
$137,801 Wol.
May 30
$82,923 Wol.
28%
December 31
$54,878 Wol.
57%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.President Trump's April 15 threat to fire Jerome Powell from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors—unless he resigns after his Chair term expires May 15—has sharpened trader consensus, with Polymarket odds implying a 57% probability of Powell's full departure by December 31, 2026, versus 28% by May 30. Powell's governor term extends to January 2028, and he has affirmed staying until successor Kevin Warsh is Senate-confirmed, whose hearing looms April 21 amid Democratic pushback over Warsh's $100 million+ disclosures including crypto holdings. This feud underscores tensions over Fed independence, where "for cause" removal faces legal hurdles, potentially influencing monetary policy expectations, Treasury yields, and FOMC rate decisions through summer.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
Wolumen
$137,801Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.President Trump's April 15 threat to fire Jerome Powell from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors—unless he resigns after his Chair term expires May 15—has sharpened trader consensus, with Polymarket odds implying a 57% probability of Powell's full departure by December 31, 2026, versus 28% by May 30. Powell's governor term extends to January 2028, and he has affirmed staying until successor Kevin Warsh is Senate-confirmed, whose hearing looms April 21 amid Democratic pushback over Warsh's $100 million+ disclosures including crypto holdings. This feud underscores tensions over Fed independence, where "for cause" removal faces legal hurdles, potentially influencing monetary policy expectations, Treasury yields, and FOMC rate decisions through summer.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Wolumen
$137,801Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's April 15 threat to fire Jerome Powell from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors—unless he resigns after his Chair term expires May 15—has sharpened trader consensus, with Polymarket odds implying a 57% probability of Powell's full departure by December 31, 2026, versus 28% by May 30. Powell's governor term extends to January 2028, and he has affirmed staying until successor Kevin Warsh is Senate-confirmed, whose hearing looms April 21 amid Democratic pushback over Warsh's $100 million+ disclosures including crypto holdings. This feud underscores tensions over Fed independence, where "for cause" removal faces legal hurdles, potentially influencing monetary policy expectations, Treasury yields, and FOMC rate decisions through summer.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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