Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a steady federal funds rate trajectory near the current 3.50%-3.75% target range through 2026, driven by March 2026 CPI surging to 3.3% year-over-year—the highest since May 2024—prompting the FOMC to hold rates unchanged at its March meeting. Fed funds futures imply averages around 3.6% into early 2027, aligning with the March dot plot's median projection of 3.4% by year-end 2026 amid resilient labor markets (4.3% unemployment) and 10-year Treasury yields near 4.3%. The April 28-29 FOMC meeting looms as the key catalyst, with focus on inflation persistence and potential shifts in the policy path before 2027.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCo Fed Rate osiągnie przed 2027 r.?
Co Fed Rate osiągnie przed 2027 r.?
$1,350,186 Wol.
↑ 5.5%
6%
↑ 5.25%
4%
↑ 5.0%
4%
↑ 4.75%
4%
↑ 4.5%
6%
↑ 4.25%
8%
↓ 3.25%
68%
↓ 3.0%
30%
↓ 2.75%
15%
↓ 2.5%
9%
↓ 2.25%
8%
↓ 2.0%
7%
↓ 1.75%
7%
↓ 1.5%
7%
↓ 1.25%
4%
↓ 1.0%
7%
↓ 0.75%
8%
↓ 0.5%
4%
↓ 0.25%
5%
↓ 0%
3%
$1,350,186 Wol.
↑ 5.5%
6%
↑ 5.25%
4%
↑ 5.0%
4%
↑ 4.75%
4%
↑ 4.5%
6%
↑ 4.25%
8%
↓ 3.25%
68%
↓ 3.0%
30%
↓ 2.75%
15%
↓ 2.5%
9%
↓ 2.25%
8%
↓ 2.0%
7%
↓ 1.75%
7%
↓ 1.5%
7%
↓ 1.25%
4%
↓ 1.0%
7%
↓ 0.75%
8%
↓ 0.5%
4%
↓ 0.25%
5%
↓ 0%
3%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 18, 2025, 3:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the lower or the upper bound of the target federal funds rate reaches the specified level at any point by December 31, 2026, 12:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Emergency rate cuts and hikes outside the regularly scheduled meetings will be considered.
The resolution source for this market is the official website of the Federal Reserve at:
https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the relevant data showing the reached level is published.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a steady federal funds rate trajectory near the current 3.50%-3.75% target range through 2026, driven by March 2026 CPI surging to 3.3% year-over-year—the highest since May 2024—prompting the FOMC to hold rates unchanged at its March meeting. Fed funds futures imply averages around 3.6% into early 2027, aligning with the March dot plot's median projection of 3.4% by year-end 2026 amid resilient labor markets (4.3% unemployment) and 10-year Treasury yields near 4.3%. The April 28-29 FOMC meeting looms as the key catalyst, with focus on inflation persistence and potential shifts in the policy path before 2027.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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