Recent Q2 2026 Eurozone GDP growth of 0.4% quarter-over-quarter, following a Q1 contraction, combined with modestly improving July sentiment indicators, underpins the balanced market-implied odds across growth bins for Q3. Persistent energy price pressures from Middle East developments, ECB policy rates held at 2.25-2.65% to anchor inflation near 2.9%, and subdued PMI readings create offsetting forces that keep sub-0.4%, 0.4-1.1%, and higher ranges competitively priced. Traders price in roughly equal probabilities because domestic demand recovery and fiscal support in key economies like Germany remain vulnerable to further commodity shocks, while upcoming August PMI and inflation releases could shift the distribution before quarter-end data arrive.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoEurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
0.4-0.7% 39%
0.8-1.1% 39%
1.2-1.5% 39%
<0.0% 38%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 30, 2026
<0.0%
38%
0.0-0.3%
38%
0.4-0.7%
39%
0.8-1.1%
39%
1.2-1.5%
39%
1.6-1.9%
38%
2.0%+
38%
0.4-0.7% 39%
0.8-1.1% 39%
1.2-1.5% 39%
<0.0% 38%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 30, 2026
<0.0%
$0 Wol.
38%
0.0-0.3%
$0 Wol.
38%
0.4-0.7%
$0 Wol.
39%
0.8-1.1%
$0 Wol.
39%
1.2-1.5%
$0 Wol.
39%
1.6-1.9%
$0 Wol.
38%
2.0%+
$0 Wol.
38%
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Q2 2026 Eurozone GDP growth of 0.4% quarter-over-quarter, following a Q1 contraction, combined with modestly improving July sentiment indicators, underpins the balanced market-implied odds across growth bins for Q3. Persistent energy price pressures from Middle East developments, ECB policy rates held at 2.25-2.65% to anchor inflation near 2.9%, and subdued PMI readings create offsetting forces that keep sub-0.4%, 0.4-1.1%, and higher ranges competitively priced. Traders price in roughly equal probabilities because domestic demand recovery and fiscal support in key economies like Germany remain vulnerable to further commodity shocks, while upcoming August PMI and inflation releases could shift the distribution before quarter-end data arrive.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Oct 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Q2 2026 Eurozone GDP growth of 0.4% quarter-over-quarter, following a Q1 contraction, combined with modestly improving July sentiment indicators, underpins the balanced market-implied odds across growth bins for Q3. Persistent energy price pressures from Middle East developments, ECB policy rates held at 2.25-2.65% to anchor inflation near 2.9%, and subdued PMI readings create offsetting forces that keep sub-0.4%, 0.4-1.1%, and higher ranges competitively priced. Traders price in roughly equal probabilities because domestic demand recovery and fiscal support in key economies like Germany remain vulnerable to further commodity shocks, while upcoming August PMI and inflation releases could shift the distribution before quarter-end data arrive.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Oct 30, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Q2 2026 Eurozone GDP growth of 0.4% quarter-over-quarter, following a Q1 contraction, combined with modestly improving July sentiment indicators, underpins the balanced market-implied odds across growth bins for Q3. Persistent energy price pressures from Middle East developments, ECB policy rates held at 2.25-2.65% to anchor inflation near 2.9%, and subdued PMI readings create offsetting forces that keep sub-0.4%, 0.4-1.1%, and higher ranges competitively priced. Traders price in roughly equal probabilities because domestic demand recovery and fiscal support in key economies like Germany remain vulnerable to further commodity shocks, while upcoming August PMI and inflation releases could shift the distribution before quarter-end data arrive.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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