China's official 2026 growth target of 4.5–5.0 percent aligns with the latest forecasts from the IMF, World Bank, and other institutions projecting annual expansion near 4.4–4.8 percent. First-half data showed 4.7 percent growth, with Q2 slowing to 4.3 percent amid subdued domestic demand, weak property activity, and cautious consumer spending, offset by robust exports in high-tech and AI-related goods that reached 25 percent year-on-year gains in August. Policymakers have responded with targeted monetary and fiscal measures rather than broad stimulus, maintaining focus on structural priorities under the new Five-Year Plan. This combination of resilient external drivers and incremental support has concentrated trader consensus on the 4.0–5.0 percent band, with deviations viewed as low-probability outcomes given current trajectories and balanced downside risks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoChina Annual GDP Growth 2026
China Annual GDP Growth 2026
4.0–5.0% 90%
5.0–6.0% 5.8%
3.0–4.0% 1.1%
8.0–9.0% 1.0%
$900,147 Wol.
$900,147 Wol.
Jan 30, 2027
<1.0%
<1%
1.0–2.0%
<1%
2.0–3.0%
<1%
3.0–4.0%
1%
4.0–5.0%
90%
5.0–6.0%
6%
6.0-7.0%
<1%
7.0–8.0%
<1%
8.0–9.0%
1%
9.0%+
1%
4.0–5.0% 90%
5.0–6.0% 5.8%
3.0–4.0% 1.1%
8.0–9.0% 1.0%
$900,147 Wol.
$900,147 Wol.
Jan 30, 2027
<1.0%
$68,058 Wol.
<1%
1.0–2.0%
$75,379 Wol.
<1%
2.0–3.0%
$45,830 Wol.
<1%
3.0–4.0%
$81,476 Wol.
1%
4.0–5.0%
$222,988 Wol.
90%
5.0–6.0%
$80,873 Wol.
6%
6.0-7.0%
$87,943 Wol.
<1%
7.0–8.0%
$65,353 Wol.
<1%
8.0–9.0%
$54,761 Wol.
1%
9.0%+
$117,484 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.China's official 2026 growth target of 4.5–5.0 percent aligns with the latest forecasts from the IMF, World Bank, and other institutions projecting annual expansion near 4.4–4.8 percent. First-half data showed 4.7 percent growth, with Q2 slowing to 4.3 percent amid subdued domestic demand, weak property activity, and cautious consumer spending, offset by robust exports in high-tech and AI-related goods that reached 25 percent year-on-year gains in August. Policymakers have responded with targeted monetary and fiscal measures rather than broad stimulus, maintaining focus on structural priorities under the new Five-Year Plan. This combination of resilient external drivers and incremental support has concentrated trader consensus on the 4.0–5.0 percent band, with deviations viewed as low-probability outcomes given current trajectories and balanced downside risks.
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 21, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Wolumen
$900,147Data zakończenia
Jan 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 21, 2026, 6:18 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.China's official 2026 growth target of 4.5–5.0 percent aligns with the latest forecasts from the IMF, World Bank, and other institutions projecting annual expansion near 4.4–4.8 percent. First-half data showed 4.7 percent growth, with Q2 slowing to 4.3 percent amid subdued domestic demand, weak property activity, and cautious consumer spending, offset by robust exports in high-tech and AI-related goods that reached 25 percent year-on-year gains in August. Policymakers have responded with targeted monetary and fiscal measures rather than broad stimulus, maintaining focus on structural priorities under the new Five-Year Plan. This combination of resilient external drivers and incremental support has concentrated trader consensus on the 4.0–5.0 percent band, with deviations viewed as low-probability outcomes given current trajectories and balanced downside risks.
This market will resolve according to China's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the full year of 2026, as reported in the "Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP" release for the fourth quarter and full year of 2026, scheduled for some time in January, 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “Preliminary Accounting Results of GDP for the Fourth Quarter and Full Year of 2026” under “Growth Rate Y/Y (%)” in the row “GDP” and the column “Year 2026”. The annual GDP Y/Y growth rate will still be considered if China’s GDP reporting format changes.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/
If no figure for the full year 2026 Y/Y GDP growth rate is reported, this market will resolve according to the Y/Y growth rate for Q4 2026. If no data for the specified year and quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$900,147Data zakończenia
Jan 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 21, 2026, 6:18 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...China's official 2026 growth target of 4.5–5.0 percent aligns with the latest forecasts from the IMF, World Bank, and other institutions projecting annual expansion near 4.4–4.8 percent. First-half data showed 4.7 percent growth, with Q2 slowing to 4.3 percent amid subdued domestic demand, weak property activity, and cautious consumer spending, offset by robust exports in high-tech and AI-related goods that reached 25 percent year-on-year gains in August. Policymakers have responded with targeted monetary and fiscal measures rather than broad stimulus, maintaining focus on structural priorities under the new Five-Year Plan. This combination of resilient external drivers and incremental support has concentrated trader consensus on the 4.0–5.0 percent band, with deviations viewed as low-probability outcomes given current trajectories and balanced downside risks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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