Recent ECB staff projections, released September 10, place euro area real GDP growth at 0.9% for 2026, revised up 0.1 percentage point from June amid stronger-than-expected Q2 momentum. Eurostat data showed 0.6% quarterly expansion in Q2 (revised higher), lifting the annual rate to 1.2%, supported by net exports and household spending despite Irish volatility. Elevated energy prices from the Middle East conflict have pushed August HICP inflation to 3.3%, prompting the ECB to raise its deposit rate to 2.5% and tempering the outlook. Trader consensus reflected in the 66.5% odds for 1.0-2.0% growth aligns with these baselines and adjusted measures excluding Irish distortions, while the 31.6% probability on 0-1.0% captures downside risks from persistent energy pressures and subdued domestic demand. Key upcoming releases include October and December ECB decisions alongside Q3 GDP data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoEurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
1.0-2.0% 67%
0-1.0% 31.4%
<0% <1%
3.0-4.0% <1%
$41,913 Wol.
$41,913 Wol.
Jan 30, 2027
<0%
<1%
0-1.0%
31%
1.0-2.0%
67%
2.0-3.0%
<1%
3.0-4.0%
<1%
4.0-5.0%
<1%
5.0-6.0%
<1%
6.0-7.0%
<1%
7.0%+
<1%
1.0-2.0% 67%
0-1.0% 31.4%
<0% <1%
3.0-4.0% <1%
$41,913 Wol.
$41,913 Wol.
Jan 30, 2027
<0%
$2,498 Wol.
<1%
0-1.0%
$13,064 Wol.
31%
1.0-2.0%
$11,312 Wol.
67%
2.0-3.0%
$1,999 Wol.
<1%
3.0-4.0%
$1,934 Wol.
<1%
4.0-5.0%
$3,059 Wol.
<1%
5.0-6.0%
$2,011 Wol.
<1%
6.0-7.0%
$3,481 Wol.
<1%
7.0%+
$2,554 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ECB staff projections, released September 10, place euro area real GDP growth at 0.9% for 2026, revised up 0.1 percentage point from June amid stronger-than-expected Q2 momentum. Eurostat data showed 0.6% quarterly expansion in Q2 (revised higher), lifting the annual rate to 1.2%, supported by net exports and household spending despite Irish volatility. Elevated energy prices from the Middle East conflict have pushed August HICP inflation to 3.3%, prompting the ECB to raise its deposit rate to 2.5% and tempering the outlook. Trader consensus reflected in the 66.5% odds for 1.0-2.0% growth aligns with these baselines and adjusted measures excluding Irish distortions, while the 31.6% probability on 0-1.0% captures downside risks from persistent energy pressures and subdued domestic demand. Key upcoming releases include October and December ECB decisions alongside Q3 GDP data.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
Wolumen
$41,913Data zakończenia
Jan 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ECB staff projections, released September 10, place euro area real GDP growth at 0.9% for 2026, revised up 0.1 percentage point from June amid stronger-than-expected Q2 momentum. Eurostat data showed 0.6% quarterly expansion in Q2 (revised higher), lifting the annual rate to 1.2%, supported by net exports and household spending despite Irish volatility. Elevated energy prices from the Middle East conflict have pushed August HICP inflation to 3.3%, prompting the ECB to raise its deposit rate to 2.5% and tempering the outlook. Trader consensus reflected in the 66.5% odds for 1.0-2.0% growth aligns with these baselines and adjusted measures excluding Irish distortions, while the 31.6% probability on 0-1.0% captures downside risks from persistent energy pressures and subdued domestic demand. Key upcoming releases include October and December ECB decisions alongside Q3 GDP data.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$41,913Data zakończenia
Jan 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Recent ECB staff projections, released September 10, place euro area real GDP growth at 0.9% for 2026, revised up 0.1 percentage point from June amid stronger-than-expected Q2 momentum. Eurostat data showed 0.6% quarterly expansion in Q2 (revised higher), lifting the annual rate to 1.2%, supported by net exports and household spending despite Irish volatility. Elevated energy prices from the Middle East conflict have pushed August HICP inflation to 3.3%, prompting the ECB to raise its deposit rate to 2.5% and tempering the outlook. Trader consensus reflected in the 66.5% odds for 1.0-2.0% growth aligns with these baselines and adjusted measures excluding Irish distortions, while the 31.6% probability on 0-1.0% captures downside risks from persistent energy pressures and subdued domestic demand. Key upcoming releases include October and December ECB decisions alongside Q3 GDP data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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