Argentina's 2026 annual inflation trajectory reflects the ongoing effects of President Milei's fiscal austerity and monetary tightening, which produced sustained monthly rates near 2% through mid-2026 and brought the July year-over-year reading to 33.8%. With the economy posting fiscal surpluses and reduced money-supply growth, trader consensus splits narrowly between the 30-34.9% and 25-29.9% bands as markets weigh inflation inertia against further disinflation from lower regulated-price adjustments and contained exchange-rate volatility. IMF and OECD projections cluster around 30-31%, while recent INDEC releases and analyst polls show modest downside revisions amid slower growth. Key near-term catalysts include September inflation data and any shifts in central-bank policy or external financing conditions that could alter the year-end path.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano30.0-34.9% 52.1%
25-29.9% 45%
45%+ 1.9%
20-24.9% 1.8%
$42,533 Wol.
$42,533 Wol.
<20%
2%
20-24.9%
2%
25-29.9%
45%
30.0-34.9%
52%
35–39.9%
<1%
40-44.9%
1%
45%+
2%
30.0-34.9% 52.1%
25-29.9% 45%
45%+ 1.9%
20-24.9% 1.8%
$42,533 Wol.
$42,533 Wol.
<20%
2%
20-24.9%
2%
25-29.9%
45%
30.0-34.9%
52%
35–39.9%
<1%
40-44.9%
1%
45%+
2%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Argentina's 2026 annual inflation trajectory reflects the ongoing effects of President Milei's fiscal austerity and monetary tightening, which produced sustained monthly rates near 2% through mid-2026 and brought the July year-over-year reading to 33.8%. With the economy posting fiscal surpluses and reduced money-supply growth, trader consensus splits narrowly between the 30-34.9% and 25-29.9% bands as markets weigh inflation inertia against further disinflation from lower regulated-price adjustments and contained exchange-rate volatility. IMF and OECD projections cluster around 30-31%, while recent INDEC releases and analyst polls show modest downside revisions amid slower growth. Key near-term catalysts include September inflation data and any shifts in central-bank policy or external financing conditions that could alter the year-end path.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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