Tight U.S. cattle inventories, at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head as of January 1, 2026, remain the dominant driver of elevated ground beef prices amid persistent drought, elevated feed costs, and limited heifer retention that has delayed herd expansion. USDA projections indicate beef production will decline further in 2026, with retail beef prices forecast to rise more than 10% year-over-year as lean domestic supplies stay constrained and strong consumer demand persists despite record retail levels near $9.50 per pound. Increasing beef imports, up sharply in early 2026, provide partial relief for ground beef but have not reversed the upward trajectory. Key catalysts include the pace of any modest herd rebuilding into 2027 and monthly cattle-on-feed and slaughter data that will shape supply expectations through year-end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWill ground beef hit __ in 2026?
Will ground beef hit __ in 2026?
$19,251 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
$7.000+
72%
$8.000+
61%
$9.000+
50%
$10.000+
24%
$19,251 Wol.
$7.000+
$50 Wol.
72%
$8.000+
$1,546 Wol.
61%
$9.000+
$22 Wol.
50%
$10.000+
$17,633 Wol.
24%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight U.S. cattle inventories, at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head as of January 1, 2026, remain the dominant driver of elevated ground beef prices amid persistent drought, elevated feed costs, and limited heifer retention that has delayed herd expansion. USDA projections indicate beef production will decline further in 2026, with retail beef prices forecast to rise more than 10% year-over-year as lean domestic supplies stay constrained and strong consumer demand persists despite record retail levels near $9.50 per pound. Increasing beef imports, up sharply in early 2026, provide partial relief for ground beef but have not reversed the upward trajectory. Key catalysts include the pace of any modest herd rebuilding into 2027 and monthly cattle-on-feed and slaughter data that will shape supply expectations through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Wolumen
$19,251Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight U.S. cattle inventories, at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head as of January 1, 2026, remain the dominant driver of elevated ground beef prices amid persistent drought, elevated feed costs, and limited heifer retention that has delayed herd expansion. USDA projections indicate beef production will decline further in 2026, with retail beef prices forecast to rise more than 10% year-over-year as lean domestic supplies stay constrained and strong consumer demand persists despite record retail levels near $9.50 per pound. Increasing beef imports, up sharply in early 2026, provide partial relief for ground beef but have not reversed the upward trajectory. Key catalysts include the pace of any modest herd rebuilding into 2027 and monthly cattle-on-feed and slaughter data that will shape supply expectations through year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Wolumen
$19,251Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Tight U.S. cattle inventories, at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head as of January 1, 2026, remain the dominant driver of elevated ground beef prices amid persistent drought, elevated feed costs, and limited heifer retention that has delayed herd expansion. USDA projections indicate beef production will decline further in 2026, with retail beef prices forecast to rise more than 10% year-over-year as lean domestic supplies stay constrained and strong consumer demand persists despite record retail levels near $9.50 per pound. Increasing beef imports, up sharply in early 2026, provide partial relief for ground beef but have not reversed the upward trajectory. Key catalysts include the pace of any modest herd rebuilding into 2027 and monthly cattle-on-feed and slaughter data that will shape supply expectations through year-end.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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