India's July 2026 CPI print of 4.45% year-over-year, following June's 4.38% breach of the RBI's 4% target, anchors trader pricing with 79.5% implied probability on an annual average of 4.50% or higher. Food inflation at 5.52% and transport costs tied to Middle East energy volatility have driven the recent acceleration, reinforced by unfavorable base effects and monsoon risks. RBI projections for FY2026-27 averaging near 5%, alongside economist forecasts of 4.7-5.2%, align with this market-implied path while core components remain elevated. Upcoming August data and the central bank's next policy review represent key near-term catalysts that could sustain or moderate these odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoIndia Annual Inflation 2026
India Annual Inflation 2026
4.50%+ 80%
3.75% to 4.49% 13.3%
<0.75% 3.9%
3.00% to 3.74% 3.1%
$78,025 Wol.
$78,025 Wol.
Jan 12, 2027
<0.75%
4%
0.75% to 1.49%
<1%
1.50% to 2.24%
1%
2.25% to 2.99%
1%
3.00% to 3.74%
3%
3.75% to 4.49%
13%
4.50%+
80%
4.50%+ 80%
3.75% to 4.49% 13.3%
<0.75% 3.9%
3.00% to 3.74% 3.1%
$78,025 Wol.
$78,025 Wol.
Jan 12, 2027
<0.75%
$1,769 Wol.
4%
0.75% to 1.49%
$1,191 Wol.
<1%
1.50% to 2.24%
$1,265 Wol.
1%
2.25% to 2.99%
$24,989 Wol.
1%
3.00% to 3.74%
$2,081 Wol.
3%
3.75% to 4.49%
$29,492 Wol.
13%
4.50%+
$17,238 Wol.
80%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfIndia's July 2026 CPI print of 4.45% year-over-year, following June's 4.38% breach of the RBI's 4% target, anchors trader pricing with 79.5% implied probability on an annual average of 4.50% or higher. Food inflation at 5.52% and transport costs tied to Middle East energy volatility have driven the recent acceleration, reinforced by unfavorable base effects and monsoon risks. RBI projections for FY2026-27 averaging near 5%, alongside economist forecasts of 4.7-5.2%, align with this market-implied path while core components remain elevated. Upcoming August data and the central bank's next policy review represent key near-term catalysts that could sustain or moderate these odds.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
Rynek otwarty: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Wolumen
$78,025Data zakończenia
Jan 12, 2027Rynek otwarty
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfIndia's July 2026 CPI print of 4.45% year-over-year, following June's 4.38% breach of the RBI's 4% target, anchors trader pricing with 79.5% implied probability on an annual average of 4.50% or higher. Food inflation at 5.52% and transport costs tied to Middle East energy volatility have driven the recent acceleration, reinforced by unfavorable base effects and monsoon risks. RBI projections for FY2026-27 averaging near 5%, alongside economist forecasts of 4.7-5.2%, align with this market-implied path while core components remain elevated. Upcoming August data and the central bank's next policy review represent key near-term catalysts that could sustain or moderate these odds.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
Wolumen
$78,025Data zakończenia
Jan 12, 2027Rynek otwarty
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...India's July 2026 CPI print of 4.45% year-over-year, following June's 4.38% breach of the RBI's 4% target, anchors trader pricing with 79.5% implied probability on an annual average of 4.50% or higher. Food inflation at 5.52% and transport costs tied to Middle East energy volatility have driven the recent acceleration, reinforced by unfavorable base effects and monsoon risks. RBI projections for FY2026-27 averaging near 5%, alongside economist forecasts of 4.7-5.2%, align with this market-implied path while core components remain elevated. Upcoming August data and the central bank's next policy review represent key near-term catalysts that could sustain or moderate these odds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania