Canada's 2026 annual CPI inflation market reflects trader focus on energy-driven headline volatility amid a subdued growth backdrop. Geopolitical tensions have elevated oil and gasoline prices, lifting June 2026 headline CPI to 2.8% year-over-year from 3.2% in May, though core measures tracked by the Bank of Canada eased to 1.9%. The central bank projects inflation easing toward its 2% target as refinery margins normalize and excess capacity persists, with rates held steady near 2.25%. Key swing factors include further oil price movements, shelter cost trends, and any tariff impacts on imports. The July CPI release on August 17 could refine positioning around the favored 2.5–2.9% outcome band.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCanada Annual Inflation 2026
2.5–2.9% 34.0%
3.0-3.4% 16.0%
2.0–2.4% 13.9%
3.5-3.9% 13.4%
$37,147 Wol.
$37,147 Wol.
<1.0%
3%
1.0–1.4%
3%
1.5–1.9%
13%
2.0–2.4%
14%
2.5–2.9%
34%
3.0-3.4%
16%
3.5-3.9%
13%
4.0%+
4%
2.5–2.9% 34.0%
3.0-3.4% 16.0%
2.0–2.4% 13.9%
3.5-3.9% 13.4%
$37,147 Wol.
$37,147 Wol.
<1.0%
3%
1.0–1.4%
3%
1.5–1.9%
13%
2.0–2.4%
14%
2.5–2.9%
34%
3.0-3.4%
16%
3.5-3.9%
13%
4.0%+
4%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Rynek otwarty: Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Canada's 2026 annual CPI inflation market reflects trader focus on energy-driven headline volatility amid a subdued growth backdrop. Geopolitical tensions have elevated oil and gasoline prices, lifting June 2026 headline CPI to 2.8% year-over-year from 3.2% in May, though core measures tracked by the Bank of Canada eased to 1.9%. The central bank projects inflation easing toward its 2% target as refinery margins normalize and excess capacity persists, with rates held steady near 2.25%. Key swing factors include further oil price movements, shelter cost trends, and any tariff impacts on imports. The July CPI release on August 17 could refine positioning around the favored 2.5–2.9% outcome band.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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