Recent disinflation in Mexico, with headline inflation falling to 3.12% year-over-year in July 2026 from 3.37% in June and 3.94% in May, has anchored trader expectations for the 2026 annual rate near the 3.5% midpoint. Core measures remain elevated near 3.9%, while non-core components benefit from lower energy prices and the absence of major second-round effects from earlier fiscal measures. Banxico's forecasts show convergence to the 3% target only in mid-2027, with policy held at 6.50% after prior cuts, reflecting balanced risks around upcoming data and potential tariff or tax impacts. The closely matched probabilities between the 3.00-3.49% and 3.50-3.99% brackets reflect uncertainty over the pace of further moderation versus persistent services pressures ahead of the next inflation releases and monetary policy decisions.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMexico Annual Inflation 2026
Mexico Annual Inflation 2026
3.50% to 3.99% 44.0%
3.00% to 3.49% 22.6%
4.00% to 4.49% 13%
4.50% to 4.99% 9%
$60,818 Wol.
$60,818 Wol.
Jan 8, 2027
<2.50%
1%
2.50% to 2.99%
5%
3.00% to 3.49%
23%
3.50% to 3.99%
44%
4.00% to 4.49%
13%
4.50% to 4.99%
9%
5.00% to 5.49%
7%
5.50%+
3%
3.50% to 3.99% 44.0%
3.00% to 3.49% 22.6%
4.00% to 4.49% 13%
4.50% to 4.99% 9%
$60,818 Wol.
$60,818 Wol.
Jan 8, 2027
<2.50%
$1,053 Wol.
1%
2.50% to 2.99%
$4,887 Wol.
5%
3.00% to 3.49%
$27,423 Wol.
23%
3.50% to 3.99%
$3,469 Wol.
44%
4.00% to 4.49%
$10,637 Wol.
13%
4.50% to 4.99%
$4,745 Wol.
9%
5.00% to 5.49%
$2,299 Wol.
7%
5.50%+
$6,305 Wol.
3%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioRecent disinflation in Mexico, with headline inflation falling to 3.12% year-over-year in July 2026 from 3.37% in June and 3.94% in May, has anchored trader expectations for the 2026 annual rate near the 3.5% midpoint. Core measures remain elevated near 3.9%, while non-core components benefit from lower energy prices and the absence of major second-round effects from earlier fiscal measures. Banxico's forecasts show convergence to the 3% target only in mid-2027, with policy held at 6.50% after prior cuts, reflecting balanced risks around upcoming data and potential tariff or tax impacts. The closely matched probabilities between the 3.00-3.49% and 3.50-3.99% brackets reflect uncertainty over the pace of further moderation versus persistent services pressures ahead of the next inflation releases and monetary policy decisions.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
Rynek otwarty: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Wolumen
$60,818Data zakończenia
Jan 8, 2027Rynek otwarty
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioRecent disinflation in Mexico, with headline inflation falling to 3.12% year-over-year in July 2026 from 3.37% in June and 3.94% in May, has anchored trader expectations for the 2026 annual rate near the 3.5% midpoint. Core measures remain elevated near 3.9%, while non-core components benefit from lower energy prices and the absence of major second-round effects from earlier fiscal measures. Banxico's forecasts show convergence to the 3% target only in mid-2027, with policy held at 6.50% after prior cuts, reflecting balanced risks around upcoming data and potential tariff or tax impacts. The closely matched probabilities between the 3.00-3.49% and 3.50-3.99% brackets reflect uncertainty over the pace of further moderation versus persistent services pressures ahead of the next inflation releases and monetary policy decisions.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
Wolumen
$60,818Data zakończenia
Jan 8, 2027Rynek otwarty
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent disinflation in Mexico, with headline inflation falling to 3.12% year-over-year in July 2026 from 3.37% in June and 3.94% in May, has anchored trader expectations for the 2026 annual rate near the 3.5% midpoint. Core measures remain elevated near 3.9%, while non-core components benefit from lower energy prices and the absence of major second-round effects from earlier fiscal measures. Banxico's forecasts show convergence to the 3% target only in mid-2027, with policy held at 6.50% after prior cuts, reflecting balanced risks around upcoming data and potential tariff or tax impacts. The closely matched probabilities between the 3.00-3.49% and 3.50-3.99% brackets reflect uncertainty over the pace of further moderation versus persistent services pressures ahead of the next inflation releases and monetary policy decisions.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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