Argentina's monthly inflation trajectory continues to reflect President Javier Milei's fiscal tightening and exchange-rate stability, with the July 2026 print rising modestly to 2.1% month-over-month from 1.9% in June and year-over-year inflation reaching 33.8%. Traders price the 1.8-2.0% bucket highest at 55.5% implied probability because recent monthly readings have clustered near 2% amid subdued demand pressures and contained regulated-price adjustments, even as core components edged higher. The 1.5-1.7% range holds secondary support at 29.1% on expectations that seasonal and regulated items could moderate further before the September 10 release. Market-implied odds embed the wisdom of crowds betting real capital on whether the disinflation path holds or reaccelerates modestly, with upcoming central-bank expectations surveys and monetary-policy signals as near-term catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoArgentina Monthly Inflation - August
Argentina Monthly Inflation - August
1.8-2.0% 55.4%
1.5-1.7% 29.1%
2.1-2.3% 22.5%
≤1.1% <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 10, 2026
≤1.1%
1%
1.2-1.4%
1%
1.5-1.7%
29%
1.8-2.0%
55%
2.1-2.3%
13%
2.4-2.6%
1%
2.7-2.9%
1%
3.0%+
1%
1.8-2.0% 55.4%
1.5-1.7% 29.1%
2.1-2.3% 22.5%
≤1.1% <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 10, 2026
≤1.1%
$282 Wol.
1%
1.2-1.4%
$275 Wol.
1%
1.5-1.7%
$1,875 Wol.
29%
1.8-2.0%
$2,506 Wol.
55%
2.1-2.3%
$687 Wol.
13%
2.4-2.6%
$275 Wol.
1%
2.7-2.9%
$275 Wol.
1%
3.0%+
$275 Wol.
1%
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina's monthly inflation trajectory continues to reflect President Javier Milei's fiscal tightening and exchange-rate stability, with the July 2026 print rising modestly to 2.1% month-over-month from 1.9% in June and year-over-year inflation reaching 33.8%. Traders price the 1.8-2.0% bucket highest at 55.5% implied probability because recent monthly readings have clustered near 2% amid subdued demand pressures and contained regulated-price adjustments, even as core components edged higher. The 1.5-1.7% range holds secondary support at 29.1% on expectations that seasonal and regulated items could moderate further before the September 10 release. Market-implied odds embed the wisdom of crowds betting real capital on whether the disinflation path holds or reaccelerates modestly, with upcoming central-bank expectations surveys and monetary-policy signals as near-term catalysts.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 14, 2026, 2:49 PM ET
Wolumen
$6,449Data zakończenia
Sep 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina's monthly inflation trajectory continues to reflect President Javier Milei's fiscal tightening and exchange-rate stability, with the July 2026 print rising modestly to 2.1% month-over-month from 1.9% in June and year-over-year inflation reaching 33.8%. Traders price the 1.8-2.0% bucket highest at 55.5% implied probability because recent monthly readings have clustered near 2% amid subdued demand pressures and contained regulated-price adjustments, even as core components edged higher. The 1.5-1.7% range holds secondary support at 29.1% on expectations that seasonal and regulated items could moderate further before the September 10 release. Market-implied odds embed the wisdom of crowds betting real capital on whether the disinflation path holds or reaccelerates modestly, with upcoming central-bank expectations surveys and monetary-policy signals as near-term catalysts.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Wolumen
$6,449Data zakończenia
Sep 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Argentina's monthly inflation trajectory continues to reflect President Javier Milei's fiscal tightening and exchange-rate stability, with the July 2026 print rising modestly to 2.1% month-over-month from 1.9% in June and year-over-year inflation reaching 33.8%. Traders price the 1.8-2.0% bucket highest at 55.5% implied probability because recent monthly readings have clustered near 2% amid subdued demand pressures and contained regulated-price adjustments, even as core components edged higher. The 1.5-1.7% range holds secondary support at 29.1% on expectations that seasonal and regulated items could moderate further before the September 10 release. Market-implied odds embed the wisdom of crowds betting real capital on whether the disinflation path holds or reaccelerates modestly, with upcoming central-bank expectations surveys and monetary-policy signals as near-term catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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