Recent July CPI data showing a 3.4% year-over-year rate, down from 3.5% in June, anchors trader positioning for the August print, with Cleveland Fed nowcasts at 3.36% reflecting continued moderation in energy and shelter costs. Closely matched probabilities between 3.3% and 3.4% highlight uncertainty around monthly core services rebounding versus persistent tariff pass-through and goods-price pressures. Market-implied odds price in a narrow range consistent with consensus forecasts of 0.2% monthly headline gains, while acknowledging risks from labor-market tightness and fiscal expansion that could sustain readings above 3.5%. The September 11 release will resolve the market, with any surprise deviation likely tied to gasoline or housing components.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAugust Inflation US - Annual
August Inflation US - Annual
3.4% 37%
3.3% 27%
3.5% 16%
3.6% 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 11, 2026
≤2.9%
3%
3.0%
4%
3.1%
2%
3.2%
5%
3.3%
27%
3.4%
37%
3.5%
16%
3.6%
10%
3.7%
5%
3.8%
5%
3.9%
3%
≥4.0%
2%
3.4% 37%
3.3% 27%
3.5% 16%
3.6% 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 11, 2026
≤2.9%
$72 Wol.
3%
3.0%
$72 Wol.
4%
3.1%
$72 Wol.
2%
3.2%
$72 Wol.
5%
3.3%
$301 Wol.
27%
3.4%
$1,534 Wol.
37%
3.5%
$200 Wol.
16%
3.6%
$72 Wol.
10%
3.7%
$171 Wol.
5%
3.8%
$192 Wol.
5%
3.9%
$192 Wol.
3%
≥4.0%
$64 Wol.
2%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July CPI data showing a 3.4% year-over-year rate, down from 3.5% in June, anchors trader positioning for the August print, with Cleveland Fed nowcasts at 3.36% reflecting continued moderation in energy and shelter costs. Closely matched probabilities between 3.3% and 3.4% highlight uncertainty around monthly core services rebounding versus persistent tariff pass-through and goods-price pressures. Market-implied odds price in a narrow range consistent with consensus forecasts of 0.2% monthly headline gains, while acknowledging risks from labor-market tightness and fiscal expansion that could sustain readings above 3.5%. The September 11 release will resolve the market, with any surprise deviation likely tied to gasoline or housing components.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,012Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July CPI data showing a 3.4% year-over-year rate, down from 3.5% in June, anchors trader positioning for the August print, with Cleveland Fed nowcasts at 3.36% reflecting continued moderation in energy and shelter costs. Closely matched probabilities between 3.3% and 3.4% highlight uncertainty around monthly core services rebounding versus persistent tariff pass-through and goods-price pressures. Market-implied odds price in a narrow range consistent with consensus forecasts of 0.2% monthly headline gains, while acknowledging risks from labor-market tightness and fiscal expansion that could sustain readings above 3.5%. The September 11 release will resolve the market, with any surprise deviation likely tied to gasoline or housing components.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Wolumen
$3,012Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July CPI data showing a 3.4% year-over-year rate, down from 3.5% in June, anchors trader positioning for the August print, with Cleveland Fed nowcasts at 3.36% reflecting continued moderation in energy and shelter costs. Closely matched probabilities between 3.3% and 3.4% highlight uncertainty around monthly core services rebounding versus persistent tariff pass-through and goods-price pressures. Market-implied odds price in a narrow range consistent with consensus forecasts of 0.2% monthly headline gains, while acknowledging risks from labor-market tightness and fiscal expansion that could sustain readings above 3.5%. The September 11 release will resolve the market, with any surprise deviation likely tied to gasoline or housing components.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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