Recent August data showing 1.7% month-over-month inflation—the lowest in 14 months—has anchored trader expectations for September around the 1.7-2.0% range, with the 1.9-2.1% and 1.6-1.8% buckets commanding nearly equal market-implied odds. Persistent disinflation under President Milei’s fiscal austerity and peso stability continues to weigh on price pressures, as evidenced by core CPI at 1.8% and subdued seasonal components in the latest release. However, potential rebounds in regulated prices for utilities, transport, and health care, alongside any reversal in food or housing categories, create the primary swing factors that keep the two leading outcomes closely contested. Year-to-date accumulation at 21.3% and the October 13 release date leave limited room for late-month surprises to shift consensus before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoArgentina Monthly Inflation - September
Argentina Monthly Inflation - September
1.9 to 2.1% 45%
1.6 to 1.8% 42%
1.3 to 1.5% 8%
1.0 to 1.2% 7.4%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 13, 2026
≤0.9%
1%
1.0 to 1.2%
7%
1.3 to 1.5%
10%
1.6 to 1.8%
42%
1.9 to 2.1%
52%
2.2 to 2.4%
<1%
2.5 to 2.7%
1%
2.8%+
1%
1.9 to 2.1% 45%
1.6 to 1.8% 42%
1.3 to 1.5% 8%
1.0 to 1.2% 7.4%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 13, 2026
≤0.9%
$163 Wol.
1%
1.0 to 1.2%
$150 Wol.
7%
1.3 to 1.5%
$138 Wol.
10%
1.6 to 1.8%
$150 Wol.
42%
1.9 to 2.1%
$725 Wol.
52%
2.2 to 2.4%
$150 Wol.
<1%
2.5 to 2.7%
$156 Wol.
1%
2.8%+
$170 Wol.
1%
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in Argentina's Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in September 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026, currently scheduled to be released on October 13, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Nivel4-Tema-3-5-31. The relevant figure is the one listed in the report under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: This market's resolution source reports the monthly percentage change in the Argentine Consumer Price Index to one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Calendario-Fecha-0Recent August data showing 1.7% month-over-month inflation—the lowest in 14 months—has anchored trader expectations for September around the 1.7-2.0% range, with the 1.9-2.1% and 1.6-1.8% buckets commanding nearly equal market-implied odds. Persistent disinflation under President Milei’s fiscal austerity and peso stability continues to weigh on price pressures, as evidenced by core CPI at 1.8% and subdued seasonal components in the latest release. However, potential rebounds in regulated prices for utilities, transport, and health care, alongside any reversal in food or housing categories, create the primary swing factors that keep the two leading outcomes closely contested. Year-to-date accumulation at 21.3% and the October 13 release date leave limited room for late-month surprises to shift consensus before resolution.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in Argentina's Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in September 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026, currently scheduled to be released on October 13, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Nivel4-Tema-3-5-31. The relevant figure is the one listed in the report under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: This market's resolution source reports the monthly percentage change in the Argentine Consumer Price Index to one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Calendario-Fecha-0
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in Argentina's Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in September 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026, currently scheduled to be released on October 13, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Nivel4-Tema-3-5-31. The relevant figure is the one listed in the report under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: This market's resolution source reports the monthly percentage change in the Argentine Consumer Price Index to one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Calendario-Fecha-0
Rynek otwarty: Sep 11, 2026, 11:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,803Data zakończenia
Oct 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 11:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Nivel4-Tema-3-5-31Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in Argentina's Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in September 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026, currently scheduled to be released on October 13, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Nivel4-Tema-3-5-31. The relevant figure is the one listed in the report under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: This market's resolution source reports the monthly percentage change in the Argentine Consumer Price Index to one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Calendario-Fecha-0Recent August data showing 1.7% month-over-month inflation—the lowest in 14 months—has anchored trader expectations for September around the 1.7-2.0% range, with the 1.9-2.1% and 1.6-1.8% buckets commanding nearly equal market-implied odds. Persistent disinflation under President Milei’s fiscal austerity and peso stability continues to weigh on price pressures, as evidenced by core CPI at 1.8% and subdued seasonal components in the latest release. However, potential rebounds in regulated prices for utilities, transport, and health care, alongside any reversal in food or housing categories, create the primary swing factors that keep the two leading outcomes closely contested. Year-to-date accumulation at 21.3% and the October 13 release date leave limited room for late-month surprises to shift consensus before resolution.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in Argentina's Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in September 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026, currently scheduled to be released on October 13, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Nivel4-Tema-3-5-31. The relevant figure is the one listed in the report under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: This market's resolution source reports the monthly percentage change in the Argentine Consumer Price Index to one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Calendario-Fecha-0
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in Argentina's Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in September 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026, currently scheduled to be released on October 13, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Nivel4-Tema-3-5-31. The relevant figure is the one listed in the report under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: This market's resolution source reports the monthly percentage change in the Argentine Consumer Price Index to one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Calendario-Fecha-0
Wolumen
$1,803Data zakończenia
Oct 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 11, 2026, 11:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.indec.gob.ar/indec/web/Nivel4-Tema-3-5-31Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent August data showing 1.7% month-over-month inflation—the lowest in 14 months—has anchored trader expectations for September around the 1.7-2.0% range, with the 1.9-2.1% and 1.6-1.8% buckets commanding nearly equal market-implied odds. Persistent disinflation under President Milei’s fiscal austerity and peso stability continues to weigh on price pressures, as evidenced by core CPI at 1.8% and subdued seasonal components in the latest release. However, potential rebounds in regulated prices for utilities, transport, and health care, alongside any reversal in food or housing categories, create the primary swing factors that keep the two leading outcomes closely contested. Year-to-date accumulation at 21.3% and the October 13 release date leave limited room for late-month surprises to shift consensus before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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