Recent U.S. economic data and central bank projections position the 2.0–2.5% GDP growth range as the leading outcome for 2026, with trader consensus reflecting a resilient yet moderating expansion. The Federal Reserve’s June 2026 median forecast stands at 2.2% for real GDP, supported by steady consumer spending and a labor market where unemployment hovers near 4.1–4.3% with solid payroll gains. Offsetting factors include Q2 2026 growth slowing to a 1.5% annualized rate, elevated CPI readings around 3.4% year-over-year driven by energy prices, and signals of potential Federal Reserve rate hikes that could dampen momentum. Broader forecasts from institutions cluster in the low-2% area, underscoring balanced risks from inflation persistence and fiscal influences without signaling recessionary thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoGDP growth in 2026
GDP growth in 2026
2.0–2.5% 56%
>2.5% 17.1%
1.5–2.0% 16.3%
1.0–1.5% 3.8%
$70,001 Wol.
$70,001 Wol.
Jan 28, 2027
<0.5%
3%
0.5–1.0%
1%
1.0–1.5%
4%
1.5–2.0%
16%
2.0–2.5%
56%
>2.5%
17%
2.0–2.5% 56%
>2.5% 17.1%
1.5–2.0% 16.3%
1.0–1.5% 3.8%
$70,001 Wol.
$70,001 Wol.
Jan 28, 2027
<0.5%
$8,018 Wol.
3%
0.5–1.0%
$17,639 Wol.
1%
1.0–1.5%
$4,239 Wol.
4%
1.5–2.0%
$8,556 Wol.
16%
2.0–2.5%
$13,178 Wol.
56%
>2.5%
$18,372 Wol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent U.S. economic data and central bank projections position the 2.0–2.5% GDP growth range as the leading outcome for 2026, with trader consensus reflecting a resilient yet moderating expansion. The Federal Reserve’s June 2026 median forecast stands at 2.2% for real GDP, supported by steady consumer spending and a labor market where unemployment hovers near 4.1–4.3% with solid payroll gains. Offsetting factors include Q2 2026 growth slowing to a 1.5% annualized rate, elevated CPI readings around 3.4% year-over-year driven by energy prices, and signals of potential Federal Reserve rate hikes that could dampen momentum. Broader forecasts from institutions cluster in the low-2% area, underscoring balanced risks from inflation persistence and fiscal influences without signaling recessionary thresholds.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 12, 2025, 6:17 PM ET
Wolumen
$70,001Data zakończenia
Jan 29, 2027Rynek otwarty
Nov 12, 2025, 6:17 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent U.S. economic data and central bank projections position the 2.0–2.5% GDP growth range as the leading outcome for 2026, with trader consensus reflecting a resilient yet moderating expansion. The Federal Reserve’s June 2026 median forecast stands at 2.2% for real GDP, supported by steady consumer spending and a labor market where unemployment hovers near 4.1–4.3% with solid payroll gains. Offsetting factors include Q2 2026 growth slowing to a 1.5% annualized rate, elevated CPI readings around 3.4% year-over-year driven by energy prices, and signals of potential Federal Reserve rate hikes that could dampen momentum. Broader forecasts from institutions cluster in the low-2% area, underscoring balanced risks from inflation persistence and fiscal influences without signaling recessionary thresholds.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$70,001Data zakończenia
Jan 29, 2027Rynek otwarty
Nov 12, 2025, 6:17 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Recent U.S. economic data and central bank projections position the 2.0–2.5% GDP growth range as the leading outcome for 2026, with trader consensus reflecting a resilient yet moderating expansion. The Federal Reserve’s June 2026 median forecast stands at 2.2% for real GDP, supported by steady consumer spending and a labor market where unemployment hovers near 4.1–4.3% with solid payroll gains. Offsetting factors include Q2 2026 growth slowing to a 1.5% annualized rate, elevated CPI readings around 3.4% year-over-year driven by energy prices, and signals of potential Federal Reserve rate hikes that could dampen momentum. Broader forecasts from institutions cluster in the low-2% area, underscoring balanced risks from inflation persistence and fiscal influences without signaling recessionary thresholds.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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