Recent U.S. goods-and-services trade data position the 70-80 billion dollar range as the clear market leader, with May’s $77.6 billion deficit providing the immediate benchmark and advance indicators showing June goods imports and exports both easing modestly. Persistent but moderating tariff effects have curbed import surges seen earlier in the year while exports have stabilized, keeping monthly shortfalls clustered near 75 billion dollars. Market-implied odds of roughly 85 percent on 70-80 billion dollars reflect this recent trajectory and the limited time remaining before the August 4 full BEA release, though volatility in energy and pharmaceutical categories could still shift the final print within or just outside that band.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoUS Trade Deficit - June 2026
US Trade Deficit - June 2026
70-80B 85%
60-70B 15%
50-60B 1.8%
80-90B 1.1%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 4, 2026
<50B
<1%
50-60B
2%
60-70B
15%
70-80B
85%
80-90B
1%
90-100B
1%
100B+
1%
70-80B 85%
60-70B 15%
50-60B 1.8%
80-90B 1.1%
NOWE
NOWE
Aug 4, 2026
<50B
$397 Wol.
<1%
50-60B
$293 Wol.
2%
60-70B
$454 Wol.
15%
70-80B
$6,633 Wol.
85%
80-90B
$246 Wol.
1%
90-100B
$246 Wol.
1%
100B+
$357 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services Deficit for June 2026, according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report scheduled for August 4, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report for the specified month is expected to be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/intl-trade-investment/international-trade-goods-and-services
Note: This market will resolve based on the Monthly Deficit figure. The Three-Month Moving Average figure will have no bearing on this market. Any revisions to the Trade Deficit figure for the specified month made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for the specified month will not be considered.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent U.S. goods-and-services trade data position the 70-80 billion dollar range as the clear market leader, with May’s $77.6 billion deficit providing the immediate benchmark and advance indicators showing June goods imports and exports both easing modestly. Persistent but moderating tariff effects have curbed import surges seen earlier in the year while exports have stabilized, keeping monthly shortfalls clustered near 75 billion dollars. Market-implied odds of roughly 85 percent on 70-80 billion dollars reflect this recent trajectory and the limited time remaining before the August 4 full BEA release, though volatility in energy and pharmaceutical categories could still shift the final print within or just outside that band.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services Deficit for June 2026, according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report scheduled for August 4, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report for the specified month is expected to be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/intl-trade-investment/international-trade-goods-and-services
Note: This market will resolve based on the Monthly Deficit figure. The Three-Month Moving Average figure will have no bearing on this market. Any revisions to the Trade Deficit figure for the specified month made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for the specified month will not be considered.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report for the specified month is expected to be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/intl-trade-investment/international-trade-goods-and-services
Note: This market will resolve based on the Monthly Deficit figure. The Three-Month Moving Average figure will have no bearing on this market. Any revisions to the Trade Deficit figure for the specified month made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for the specified month will not be considered.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 29, 2026, 7:08 PM ET
Wolumen
$8,625Data zakończenia
Aug 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 29, 2026, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services Deficit for June 2026, according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report scheduled for August 4, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report for the specified month is expected to be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/intl-trade-investment/international-trade-goods-and-services
Note: This market will resolve based on the Monthly Deficit figure. The Three-Month Moving Average figure will have no bearing on this market. Any revisions to the Trade Deficit figure for the specified month made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for the specified month will not be considered.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent U.S. goods-and-services trade data position the 70-80 billion dollar range as the clear market leader, with May’s $77.6 billion deficit providing the immediate benchmark and advance indicators showing June goods imports and exports both easing modestly. Persistent but moderating tariff effects have curbed import surges seen earlier in the year while exports have stabilized, keeping monthly shortfalls clustered near 75 billion dollars. Market-implied odds of roughly 85 percent on 70-80 billion dollars reflect this recent trajectory and the limited time remaining before the August 4 full BEA release, though volatility in energy and pharmaceutical categories could still shift the final print within or just outside that band.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services Deficit for June 2026, according to the monthly Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) report scheduled for August 4, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report for the specified month is expected to be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/intl-trade-investment/international-trade-goods-and-services
Note: This market will resolve based on the Monthly Deficit figure. The Three-Month Moving Average figure will have no bearing on this market. Any revisions to the Trade Deficit figure for the specified month made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for the specified month will not be considered.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report for the specified month is expected to be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/intl-trade-investment/international-trade-goods-and-services
Note: This market will resolve based on the Monthly Deficit figure. The Three-Month Moving Average figure will have no bearing on this market. Any revisions to the Trade Deficit figure for the specified month made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for the specified month will not be considered.
If the BEA does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services report (https://www.bea.gov/news/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Wolumen
$8,625Data zakończenia
Aug 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 29, 2026, 7:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent U.S. goods-and-services trade data position the 70-80 billion dollar range as the clear market leader, with May’s $77.6 billion deficit providing the immediate benchmark and advance indicators showing June goods imports and exports both easing modestly. Persistent but moderating tariff effects have curbed import surges seen earlier in the year while exports have stabilized, keeping monthly shortfalls clustered near 75 billion dollars. Market-implied odds of roughly 85 percent on 70-80 billion dollars reflect this recent trajectory and the limited time remaining before the August 4 full BEA release, though volatility in energy and pharmaceutical categories could still shift the final print within or just outside that band.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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