Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in a narrow August 4 primary victory over Rep. Haley Stevens, consolidating support from progressive and younger voters while facing a competitive general election against former Rep. Mike Rogers. Recent polls through early September show the race as a tossup or slight Democratic lean, with El-Sayed holding modest edges among independents, women, and Black voters in some surveys, though Rogers performs strongly with non-college voters. Michigan’s open Senate seat, previously held by retiring Sen. Gary Peters, sits in a state with mixed partisan trends following the 2024 presidential results. Traders appear to price in El-Sayed’s fundraising momentum and Democratic structural advantages in turnout models over Rogers’ experience and prior near-miss Senate bid. Upcoming debates and fall campaigning could shift the narrow polling margins.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMichigan Senate Election Winner
Michigan Senate Election Winner
$672,714 Wol.
$672,714 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
66%
Mike Rogers (R)
35%
$672,714 Wol.
$672,714 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
$367,185 Wol.
66%
Mike Rogers (R)
$305,530 Wol.
35%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in a narrow August 4 primary victory over Rep. Haley Stevens, consolidating support from progressive and younger voters while facing a competitive general election against former Rep. Mike Rogers. Recent polls through early September show the race as a tossup or slight Democratic lean, with El-Sayed holding modest edges among independents, women, and Black voters in some surveys, though Rogers performs strongly with non-college voters. Michigan’s open Senate seat, previously held by retiring Sen. Gary Peters, sits in a state with mixed partisan trends following the 2024 presidential results. Traders appear to price in El-Sayed’s fundraising momentum and Democratic structural advantages in turnout models over Rogers’ experience and prior near-miss Senate bid. Upcoming debates and fall campaigning could shift the narrow polling margins.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Rynek otwarty: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Wolumen
$672,714Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in a narrow August 4 primary victory over Rep. Haley Stevens, consolidating support from progressive and younger voters while facing a competitive general election against former Rep. Mike Rogers. Recent polls through early September show the race as a tossup or slight Democratic lean, with El-Sayed holding modest edges among independents, women, and Black voters in some surveys, though Rogers performs strongly with non-college voters. Michigan’s open Senate seat, previously held by retiring Sen. Gary Peters, sits in a state with mixed partisan trends following the 2024 presidential results. Traders appear to price in El-Sayed’s fundraising momentum and Democratic structural advantages in turnout models over Rogers’ experience and prior near-miss Senate bid. Upcoming debates and fall campaigning could shift the narrow polling margins.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Wolumen
$672,714Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in a narrow August 4 primary victory over Rep. Haley Stevens, consolidating support from progressive and younger voters while facing a competitive general election against former Rep. Mike Rogers. Recent polls through early September show the race as a tossup or slight Democratic lean, with El-Sayed holding modest edges among independents, women, and Black voters in some surveys, though Rogers performs strongly with non-college voters. Michigan’s open Senate seat, previously held by retiring Sen. Gary Peters, sits in a state with mixed partisan trends following the 2024 presidential results. Traders appear to price in El-Sayed’s fundraising momentum and Democratic structural advantages in turnout models over Rogers’ experience and prior near-miss Senate bid. Upcoming debates and fall campaigning could shift the narrow polling margins.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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