Peggy Flanagan secured the Democratic nomination in August after defeating Rep. Angie Craig in the primary for the open seat vacated by retiring Sen. Tina Smith, while Michele Tafoya won the Republican primary. Minnesota has not elected a Republican to the U.S. Senate since 2002 or to any statewide office since 2006, and forecasters rate the race as likely Democratic. Early polling shows Flanagan ahead of Tafoya by roughly seven points, consistent with generic ballot trends favoring Democrats by eight points. The market's strong consensus for Flanagan reflects these structural advantages, the state's partisan lean, and the absence of major shifts since the primaries. Potential variables that could narrow the gap include turnout patterns, national political developments, or late-campaign events affecting either nominee.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMinnesota Senate Election Winner
Minnesota Senate Election Winner
$59,402 Wol.
$59,402 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Peggy Flanagan (D)
94%
Michele Tafoya (R)
8%
$59,402 Wol.
$59,402 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Peggy Flanagan (D)
$41,531 Wol.
94%
Michele Tafoya (R)
$17,871 Wol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Peggy Flanagan secured the Democratic nomination in August after defeating Rep. Angie Craig in the primary for the open seat vacated by retiring Sen. Tina Smith, while Michele Tafoya won the Republican primary. Minnesota has not elected a Republican to the U.S. Senate since 2002 or to any statewide office since 2006, and forecasters rate the race as likely Democratic. Early polling shows Flanagan ahead of Tafoya by roughly seven points, consistent with generic ballot trends favoring Democrats by eight points. The market's strong consensus for Flanagan reflects these structural advantages, the state's partisan lean, and the absence of major shifts since the primaries. Potential variables that could narrow the gap include turnout patterns, national political developments, or late-campaign events affecting either nominee.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Rynek otwarty: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Wolumen
$59,402Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Peggy Flanagan secured the Democratic nomination in August after defeating Rep. Angie Craig in the primary for the open seat vacated by retiring Sen. Tina Smith, while Michele Tafoya won the Republican primary. Minnesota has not elected a Republican to the U.S. Senate since 2002 or to any statewide office since 2006, and forecasters rate the race as likely Democratic. Early polling shows Flanagan ahead of Tafoya by roughly seven points, consistent with generic ballot trends favoring Democrats by eight points. The market's strong consensus for Flanagan reflects these structural advantages, the state's partisan lean, and the absence of major shifts since the primaries. Potential variables that could narrow the gap include turnout patterns, national political developments, or late-campaign events affecting either nominee.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Wolumen
$59,402Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Peggy Flanagan secured the Democratic nomination in August after defeating Rep. Angie Craig in the primary for the open seat vacated by retiring Sen. Tina Smith, while Michele Tafoya won the Republican primary. Minnesota has not elected a Republican to the U.S. Senate since 2002 or to any statewide office since 2006, and forecasters rate the race as likely Democratic. Early polling shows Flanagan ahead of Tafoya by roughly seven points, consistent with generic ballot trends favoring Democrats by eight points. The market's strong consensus for Flanagan reflects these structural advantages, the state's partisan lean, and the absence of major shifts since the primaries. Potential variables that could narrow the gap include turnout patterns, national political developments, or late-campaign events affecting either nominee.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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