Minnesota's structural Democratic lean, reinforced by consistent statewide voting patterns in recent Senate contests, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic winner at 89.5 percent. The open seat created by incumbent Tina Smith's retirement has drawn established Democratic contenders including Angie Craig and Peggy Flanagan, who lead Republican options such as Michele Tafoya by 6 to 7 points in early 2026 general election polling. Forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic, reflecting the party's organizational edge and the limited profile of the Republican primary field ahead of the August 11 Democratic primary and November general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMinnesota Senate Election Winner
$25,052 Wol.
$25,052 Wol.

Democrat
90%

Republican
11%
$25,052 Wol.
$25,052 Wol.

Democrat
90%

Republican
11%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Rynek otwarty: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's structural Democratic lean, reinforced by consistent statewide voting patterns in recent Senate contests, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic winner at 89.5 percent. The open seat created by incumbent Tina Smith's retirement has drawn established Democratic contenders including Angie Craig and Peggy Flanagan, who lead Republican options such as Michele Tafoya by 6 to 7 points in early 2026 general election polling. Forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic, reflecting the party's organizational edge and the limited profile of the Republican primary field ahead of the August 11 Democratic primary and November general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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