Trader consensus slightly favors Democrat Aaron Ford at 57.5% over incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo at 42.5% in Nevada's battleground gubernatorial race, reflecting the swing state's history of tight contests and high undecided voters (17-23% in recent surveys). A March 2026 Noble Predictive Insights poll of 845 registered voters showed a dead heat at Lombardo 39%, Ford 38%, with Ford leading Latinos by 24 points, women by 6, and Washoe County residents by 12, while Lombardo edges independents by 6 points. This diverges from polling averages indicating a slim Republican lead, as bettors weigh Ford's potential to consolidate urban and moderate support ahead of the June 9 primaries and November 3 general election amid Lombardo's incumbency and fundraising advantages.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNevada Governor Election Winner
Nevada Governor Election Winner
$20,953 Wol.
$20,953 Wol.

Democrat
57%

Republican
43%
$20,953 Wol.
$20,953 Wol.

Democrat
57%

Republican
43%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Rynek otwarty: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus slightly favors Democrat Aaron Ford at 57.5% over incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo at 42.5% in Nevada's battleground gubernatorial race, reflecting the swing state's history of tight contests and high undecided voters (17-23% in recent surveys). A March 2026 Noble Predictive Insights poll of 845 registered voters showed a dead heat at Lombardo 39%, Ford 38%, with Ford leading Latinos by 24 points, women by 6, and Washoe County residents by 12, while Lombardo edges independents by 6 points. This diverges from polling averages indicating a slim Republican lead, as bettors weigh Ford's potential to consolidate urban and moderate support ahead of the June 9 primaries and November 3 general election amid Lombardo's incumbency and fundraising advantages.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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