Several Republican-held seats in battleground states show polling margins of five points or less, shaping trader consensus on which 2026 Senate races will finish within that threshold. Recent aggregates indicate competitive contests in Texas, where Democrat James Talarico trails or ties Republican Ken Paxton; the Michigan open seat after Gary Peters’ retirement, pitting Abdul El-Sayed against Mike Rogers; the Ohio special election featuring Sherrod Brown versus Jon Husted; and Maine, where Susan Collins faces Troy Jackson. National polling trends favoring Democrats have tightened these races, while structural factors like open seats and candidate recruitment sustain uncertainty. With early voting underway and the November 3 election seven weeks away, final turnout, campaign spending, and any late shifts in the generic ballot could alter margins in these and nearby states such as Alaska and Iowa.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$64,438 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Texas
83%
Alaska
72%
Kansas
68%
Michigan
65%
Iowa
62%
Ohio (Special)
56%
Maine
51%
Nebraska
45%
New Hampshire
38%
South Carolina
43%
North Carolina
28%
Florida (Special)
25%
Minnesota
21%
Georgia
20%
New Mexico
13%
Montana
7%
Colorado
5%
Virginia
3%
$64,438 Wol.
Texas
$7,132 Wol.
83%
Alaska
$2,789 Wol.
72%
Kansas
$556 Wol.
68%
Michigan
$2,743 Wol.
65%
Iowa
$5,657 Wol.
62%
Ohio (Special)
$3,967 Wol.
56%
Maine
$1,119 Wol.
51%
Nebraska
$3,719 Wol.
45%
New Hampshire
$2,402 Wol.
38%
South Carolina
$109 Wol.
43%
North Carolina
$5,817 Wol.
28%
Florida (Special)
$2,450 Wol.
25%
Minnesota
$10,319 Wol.
21%
Georgia
$2,057 Wol.
20%
New Mexico
$6,665 Wol.
13%
Montana
$2,990 Wol.
7%
Colorado
$2,599 Wol.
5%
Virginia
$1,344 Wol.
3%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several Republican-held seats in battleground states show polling margins of five points or less, shaping trader consensus on which 2026 Senate races will finish within that threshold. Recent aggregates indicate competitive contests in Texas, where Democrat James Talarico trails or ties Republican Ken Paxton; the Michigan open seat after Gary Peters’ retirement, pitting Abdul El-Sayed against Mike Rogers; the Ohio special election featuring Sherrod Brown versus Jon Husted; and Maine, where Susan Collins faces Troy Jackson. National polling trends favoring Democrats have tightened these races, while structural factors like open seats and candidate recruitment sustain uncertainty. With early voting underway and the November 3 election seven weeks away, final turnout, campaign spending, and any late shifts in the generic ballot could alter margins in these and nearby states such as Alaska and Iowa.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 29, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
Wolumen
$64,438Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 29, 2026, 2:38 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Several Republican-held seats in battleground states show polling margins of five points or less, shaping trader consensus on which 2026 Senate races will finish within that threshold. Recent aggregates indicate competitive contests in Texas, where Democrat James Talarico trails or ties Republican Ken Paxton; the Michigan open seat after Gary Peters’ retirement, pitting Abdul El-Sayed against Mike Rogers; the Ohio special election featuring Sherrod Brown versus Jon Husted; and Maine, where Susan Collins faces Troy Jackson. National polling trends favoring Democrats have tightened these races, while structural factors like open seats and candidate recruitment sustain uncertainty. With early voting underway and the November 3 election seven weeks away, final turnout, campaign spending, and any late shifts in the generic ballot could alter margins in these and nearby states such as Alaska and Iowa.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$64,438Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 29, 2026, 2:38 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Several Republican-held seats in battleground states show polling margins of five points or less, shaping trader consensus on which 2026 Senate races will finish within that threshold. Recent aggregates indicate competitive contests in Texas, where Democrat James Talarico trails or ties Republican Ken Paxton; the Michigan open seat after Gary Peters’ retirement, pitting Abdul El-Sayed against Mike Rogers; the Ohio special election featuring Sherrod Brown versus Jon Husted; and Maine, where Susan Collins faces Troy Jackson. National polling trends favoring Democrats have tightened these races, while structural factors like open seats and candidate recruitment sustain uncertainty. With early voting underway and the November 3 election seven weeks away, final turnout, campaign spending, and any late shifts in the generic ballot could alter margins in these and nearby states such as Alaska and Iowa.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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