Recent polling in open-seat contests across battleground states has kept Florida, Alaska, and Ohio atop trader pricing for the narrowest 2026 gubernatorial margin. In Florida, Republican Byron Donalds and Democrat David Jolly trade single-digit leads in surveys released through mid-September. Alaska’s ranked-choice general election features Democrat Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins ahead of a divided Republican field, prompting Cook Political Report to shift the race to toss-up status. Ohio’s matchup between Democrat Amy Acton and Republican Vivek Ramaswamy remains within the margin of error in multiple bipartisan polls. Similar tightness in Georgia and Nevada reflects balanced candidate strength and voter turnout patterns that could decide the final spread.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAlaska 13.3%
Florida 13.1%
Ohio 12.9%
Nevada 11%
$19,682 Wol.
$19,682 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Alaska
13%
Florida
13%
Ohio
13%
Nevada
11%
Georgia
10%
Iowa
6%
Texas
5%
Oregon
5%
Kansas
5%
Wisconsin
4%
Michigan
4%
Colorado
3%
Vermont
3%
New Hampshire
3%
Arizona
2%
Minnesota
2%
New Mexico
1%
Maine
<1%
Alaska 13.3%
Florida 13.1%
Ohio 12.9%
Nevada 11%
$19,682 Wol.
$19,682 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Alaska
$284 Wol.
13%
Florida
$996 Wol.
13%
Ohio
$886 Wol.
13%
Nevada
$3,902 Wol.
11%
Georgia
$1,055 Wol.
10%
Iowa
$1,875 Wol.
6%
Texas
$2,660 Wol.
5%
Oregon
$346 Wol.
5%
Kansas
$3,304 Wol.
5%
Wisconsin
$1,572 Wol.
4%
Michigan
$379 Wol.
4%
Colorado
$283 Wol.
3%
Vermont
$201 Wol.
3%
New Hampshire
$549 Wol.
3%
Arizona
$307 Wol.
2%
Minnesota
$364 Wol.
2%
New Mexico
$343 Wol.
1%
Maine
$375 Wol.
<1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling in open-seat contests across battleground states has kept Florida, Alaska, and Ohio atop trader pricing for the narrowest 2026 gubernatorial margin. In Florida, Republican Byron Donalds and Democrat David Jolly trade single-digit leads in surveys released through mid-September. Alaska’s ranked-choice general election features Democrat Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins ahead of a divided Republican field, prompting Cook Political Report to shift the race to toss-up status. Ohio’s matchup between Democrat Amy Acton and Republican Vivek Ramaswamy remains within the margin of error in multiple bipartisan polls. Similar tightness in Georgia and Nevada reflects balanced candidate strength and voter turnout patterns that could decide the final spread.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Wolumen
$19,682Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling in open-seat contests across battleground states has kept Florida, Alaska, and Ohio atop trader pricing for the narrowest 2026 gubernatorial margin. In Florida, Republican Byron Donalds and Democrat David Jolly trade single-digit leads in surveys released through mid-September. Alaska’s ranked-choice general election features Democrat Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins ahead of a divided Republican field, prompting Cook Political Report to shift the race to toss-up status. Ohio’s matchup between Democrat Amy Acton and Republican Vivek Ramaswamy remains within the margin of error in multiple bipartisan polls. Similar tightness in Georgia and Nevada reflects balanced candidate strength and voter turnout patterns that could decide the final spread.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$19,682Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in open-seat contests across battleground states has kept Florida, Alaska, and Ohio atop trader pricing for the narrowest 2026 gubernatorial margin. In Florida, Republican Byron Donalds and Democrat David Jolly trade single-digit leads in surveys released through mid-September. Alaska’s ranked-choice general election features Democrat Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins ahead of a divided Republican field, prompting Cook Political Report to shift the race to toss-up status. Ohio’s matchup between Democrat Amy Acton and Republican Vivek Ramaswamy remains within the margin of error in multiple bipartisan polls. Similar tightness in Georgia and Nevada reflects balanced candidate strength and voter turnout patterns that could decide the final spread.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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