Recent polling in Ohio shows a statistical tie between Democrat Amy Acton and Republican Vivek Ramaswamy for the open governorship, with averages near 47 percent each and multiple forecasters rating the contest a toss-up. Similar dynamics appear in other leading states, where term-limited incumbents have created open-seat races with uncertain nominee fields and narrow projected margins. Iowa and Wisconsin feature competitive open contests, while Kansas and Nevada maintain histories of close statewide results that traders weigh against current early indicators. The spread across more than a dozen states reflects fragmented expectations, with consolidation likely depending on primary outcomes, candidate fundraising, and any late shifts in national political conditions before November 2026.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoOhio 13.6%
Kansas 11.2%
Iowa 9.2%
Nevada 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Ohio
14%
Kansas
11%
Iowa
9%
Nevada
9%
Texas
9%
Wisconsin
7%
Georgia
6%
Colorado
5%
Florida
5%
Michigan
4%
Oregon
4%
Alaska
3%
Arizona
3%
New Hampshire
2%
New Mexico
1%
Maine
1%
Vermont
1%
Minnesota
1%
Ohio 13.6%
Kansas 11.2%
Iowa 9.2%
Nevada 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Ohio
$333 Wol.
14%
Kansas
$357 Wol.
11%
Iowa
$525 Wol.
9%
Nevada
$1,986 Wol.
9%
Texas
$1,038 Wol.
9%
Wisconsin
$250 Wol.
7%
Georgia
$194 Wol.
6%
Colorado
$238 Wol.
5%
Florida
$193 Wol.
5%
Michigan
$324 Wol.
4%
Oregon
$299 Wol.
4%
Alaska
$201 Wol.
3%
Arizona
$259 Wol.
3%
New Hampshire
$250 Wol.
2%
New Mexico
$189 Wol.
1%
Maine
$297 Wol.
1%
Vermont
$171 Wol.
1%
Minnesota
$209 Wol.
1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling in Ohio shows a statistical tie between Democrat Amy Acton and Republican Vivek Ramaswamy for the open governorship, with averages near 47 percent each and multiple forecasters rating the contest a toss-up. Similar dynamics appear in other leading states, where term-limited incumbents have created open-seat races with uncertain nominee fields and narrow projected margins. Iowa and Wisconsin feature competitive open contests, while Kansas and Nevada maintain histories of close statewide results that traders weigh against current early indicators. The spread across more than a dozen states reflects fragmented expectations, with consolidation likely depending on primary outcomes, candidate fundraising, and any late shifts in national political conditions before November 2026.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Wolumen
$7,312Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling in Ohio shows a statistical tie between Democrat Amy Acton and Republican Vivek Ramaswamy for the open governorship, with averages near 47 percent each and multiple forecasters rating the contest a toss-up. Similar dynamics appear in other leading states, where term-limited incumbents have created open-seat races with uncertain nominee fields and narrow projected margins. Iowa and Wisconsin feature competitive open contests, while Kansas and Nevada maintain histories of close statewide results that traders weigh against current early indicators. The spread across more than a dozen states reflects fragmented expectations, with consolidation likely depending on primary outcomes, candidate fundraising, and any late shifts in national political conditions before November 2026.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all listed gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$7,312Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 29, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling in Ohio shows a statistical tie between Democrat Amy Acton and Republican Vivek Ramaswamy for the open governorship, with averages near 47 percent each and multiple forecasters rating the contest a toss-up. Similar dynamics appear in other leading states, where term-limited incumbents have created open-seat races with uncertain nominee fields and narrow projected margins. Iowa and Wisconsin feature competitive open contests, while Kansas and Nevada maintain histories of close statewide results that traders weigh against current early indicators. The spread across more than a dozen states reflects fragmented expectations, with consolidation likely depending on primary outcomes, candidate fundraising, and any late shifts in national political conditions before November 2026.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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