Multiple Republican-held seats in battleground states remain highly competitive heading into the November 2026 elections, with recent polling averages showing narrow margins in Texas, Iowa, Michigan, and Alaska. Open seats, such as Michigan after Gary Peters' retirement, and strong challengers in states like Texas have kept projected vote shares tight across several races. National generic ballot trends and candidate-specific developments continue to influence these contests, preventing any single race from pulling decisively ahead. Trader consensus prices reflect this uncertainty, with the top outcomes clustered closely and vulnerable to shifts from late polling, turnout patterns, or campaign events in the final weeks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTexas 15%
Iowa 14.0%
Michigan 10.7%
Alaska 11%
$41,785 Wol.
$41,785 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Texas
15%
Iowa
14%
Michigan
11%
Alaska
11%
Ohio (Special)
9%
Maine
9%
Nebraska
8%
New Hampshire
5%
Florida (Special)
7%
Virginia
2%
North Carolina
2%
Georgia
2%
New Mexico
2%
Minnesota
1%
Montana
1%
Colorado
<1%
Texas 15%
Iowa 14.0%
Michigan 10.7%
Alaska 11%
$41,785 Wol.
$41,785 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Texas
$1,876 Wol.
15%
Iowa
$3,287 Wol.
14%
Michigan
$3,055 Wol.
11%
Alaska
$7,695 Wol.
11%
Ohio (Special)
$8,979 Wol.
9%
Maine
$1,398 Wol.
9%
Nebraska
$2,730 Wol.
8%
New Hampshire
$788 Wol.
5%
Florida (Special)
$390 Wol.
7%
Virginia
$5,073 Wol.
2%
North Carolina
$1,483 Wol.
2%
Georgia
$824 Wol.
2%
New Mexico
$160 Wol.
2%
Minnesota
$1,561 Wol.
1%
Montana
$1,383 Wol.
1%
Colorado
$1,103 Wol.
<1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Multiple Republican-held seats in battleground states remain highly competitive heading into the November 2026 elections, with recent polling averages showing narrow margins in Texas, Iowa, Michigan, and Alaska. Open seats, such as Michigan after Gary Peters' retirement, and strong challengers in states like Texas have kept projected vote shares tight across several races. National generic ballot trends and candidate-specific developments continue to influence these contests, preventing any single race from pulling decisively ahead. Trader consensus prices reflect this uncertainty, with the top outcomes clustered closely and vulnerable to shifts from late polling, turnout patterns, or campaign events in the final weeks.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 26, 2026, 3:52 PM ET
Wolumen
$41,785Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 26, 2026, 3:52 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Multiple Republican-held seats in battleground states remain highly competitive heading into the November 2026 elections, with recent polling averages showing narrow margins in Texas, Iowa, Michigan, and Alaska. Open seats, such as Michigan after Gary Peters' retirement, and strong challengers in states like Texas have kept projected vote shares tight across several races. National generic ballot trends and candidate-specific developments continue to influence these contests, preventing any single race from pulling decisively ahead. Trader consensus prices reflect this uncertainty, with the top outcomes clustered closely and vulnerable to shifts from late polling, turnout patterns, or campaign events in the final weeks.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will consider the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to be held in November, 2026, by October 31, 2026, including the results of runoff elections held after November, 2026.
The resolution source for this market will be a compilation of all of the relevant state election authorities responsible for certifying statewide elections, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$41,785Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 26, 2026, 3:52 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Multiple Republican-held seats in battleground states remain highly competitive heading into the November 2026 elections, with recent polling averages showing narrow margins in Texas, Iowa, Michigan, and Alaska. Open seats, such as Michigan after Gary Peters' retirement, and strong challengers in states like Texas have kept projected vote shares tight across several races. National generic ballot trends and candidate-specific developments continue to influence these contests, preventing any single race from pulling decisively ahead. Trader consensus prices reflect this uncertainty, with the top outcomes clustered closely and vulnerable to shifts from late polling, turnout patterns, or campaign events in the final weeks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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