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icon for Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by September 30?

Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by September 30?

icon for Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by September 30?

Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by September 30?

19% szansa
Polymarket
NOWE
19% szansa
Polymarket
NOWE
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Senator Mitch McConnell of Kentucky casts a recorded vote in the United States Senate on any bill, resolution, nomination, motion, or any other measure between market creation and September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Votes in committee will not be relevant for purposes of this market. The resolution source for this market will be the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Mitch McConnell has not voted in the Senate since June 11, 2026, after a June 14 fall that led to hospitalization for injuries and pneumonia.** At 84, the Kentucky Republican announced in February 2025 he would not seek an eighth term, with his current term ending in January 2027. He has remained out of the chamber for extended rehabilitation, missing dozens of roll-call votes through mid-August while undergoing physical therapy. His office has stated he is not yet medically cleared for a full return to duties. With the Senate schedule offering limited session days before September 30 and no recent confirmation of his attendance, traders assign an 81.5% implied probability to “No,” reflecting the extended recovery timeline and his planned retirement.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Senator Mitch McConnell of Kentucky casts a recorded vote in the United States Senate on any bill, resolution, nomination, motion, or any other measure between market creation and September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Votes in committee will not be relevant for purposes of this market.

The resolution source for this market will be the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$158
Data zakończenia
Sep 30, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Senator Mitch McConnell of Kentucky casts a recorded vote in the United States Senate on any bill, resolution, nomination, motion, or any other measure between market creation and September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Votes in committee will not be relevant for purposes of this market. The resolution source for this market will be the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Senator Mitch McConnell of Kentucky casts a recorded vote in the United States Senate on any bill, resolution, nomination, motion, or any other measure between market creation and September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Votes in committee will not be relevant for purposes of this market. The resolution source for this market will be the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Mitch McConnell has not voted in the Senate since June 11, 2026, after a June 14 fall that led to hospitalization for injuries and pneumonia.** At 84, the Kentucky Republican announced in February 2025 he would not seek an eighth term, with his current term ending in January 2027. He has remained out of the chamber for extended rehabilitation, missing dozens of roll-call votes through mid-August while undergoing physical therapy. His office has stated he is not yet medically cleared for a full return to duties. With the Senate schedule offering limited session days before September 30 and no recent confirmation of his attendance, traders assign an 81.5% implied probability to “No,” reflecting the extended recovery timeline and his planned retirement.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Senator Mitch McConnell of Kentucky casts a recorded vote in the United States Senate on any bill, resolution, nomination, motion, or any other measure between market creation and September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Votes in committee will not be relevant for purposes of this market.

The resolution source for this market will be the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$158
Data zakończenia
Sep 30, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 18, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Senator Mitch McConnell of Kentucky casts a recorded vote in the United States Senate on any bill, resolution, nomination, motion, or any other measure between market creation and September 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Votes in committee will not be relevant for purposes of this market. The resolution source for this market will be the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Często zadawane pytania

"Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by September 30?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały "Tak" lub "Nie" w zależności od tego, czy wierzą, że to wydarzenie nastąpi. Obecne zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwo to 19% na "Yes". Na przykład, jeśli "Tak" kosztuje 19¢, rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 19% szansy na to, że to wydarzenie nastąpi. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje i wydarzenia. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by September 30?" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Aug 18, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by September 30?", wybierz, czy uważasz, że odpowiedź to "Tak" czy "Nie". Każda strona ma bieżącą cenę odzwierciedlającą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli kupisz udziały "Tak" i wynik okaże się "Tak", każdy udział wypłaci $1. Jeśli okaże się "Nie", Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem, jeśli chcesz zrealizować zysk lub ograniczyć stratę.

Obecne prawdopodobieństwo dla "Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by September 30?" to 19% na "Yes". Oznacza to, że społeczność Polymarket uważa, że istnieje 19% szansy na to, że to wydarzenie nastąpi. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym na podstawie rzeczywistych transakcji, dostarczając ciągle aktualizowany sygnał tego, czego rynek oczekuje.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by September 30?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.