**Mitch McConnell has not voted in the Senate since June 11, 2026, after a June 14 fall that led to hospitalization for injuries and pneumonia.** At 84, the Kentucky Republican announced in February 2025 he would not seek an eighth term, with his current term ending in January 2027. He has remained out of the chamber for extended rehabilitation, missing dozens of roll-call votes through mid-August while undergoing physical therapy. His office has stated he is not yet medically cleared for a full return to duties. With the Senate schedule offering limited session days before September 30 and no recent confirmation of his attendance, traders assign an 81.5% implied probability to “No,” reflecting the extended recovery timeline and his planned retirement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoVotes in committee will not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 18, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Votes in committee will not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the United States Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Mitch McConnell has not voted in the Senate since June 11, 2026, after a June 14 fall that led to hospitalization for injuries and pneumonia.** At 84, the Kentucky Republican announced in February 2025 he would not seek an eighth term, with his current term ending in January 2027. He has remained out of the chamber for extended rehabilitation, missing dozens of roll-call votes through mid-August while undergoing physical therapy. His office has stated he is not yet medically cleared for a full return to duties. With the Senate schedule offering limited session days before September 30 and no recent confirmation of his attendance, traders assign an 81.5% implied probability to “No,” reflecting the extended recovery timeline and his planned retirement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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