With Tony Evers opting against a third term, the open-seat Wisconsin gubernatorial contest features a crowded Democratic primary—where Rep. Francesca Hong leads Mandela Barnes slightly per the March 2026 Marquette poll (14%-11%, 65% undecided)—against U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany's dominant Republican primary position (40% in Marquette, Trump-endorsed, Polymarket 88%). Early general polls (TIPP March 2026) show tight matchups, with Tiffany edging or tying top Democrats like Barnes (43%-41%) and Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez (44%-41%). Traders nonetheless price Democrats at 78.5% via incumbency party edge in recent cycles (Evers' 2018/2022 wins), doubts on Tiffany's statewide viability from northern Wisconsin, and post-April 7 Supreme Court momentum, ahead of August 11 primaries.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWisconsin Governor Election Winner
Wisconsin Governor Election Winner
$67,734 Wol.
$67,734 Wol.

Democrat
79%

Republican
16%
$67,734 Wol.
$67,734 Wol.

Democrat
79%

Republican
16%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Rynek otwarty: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...With Tony Evers opting against a third term, the open-seat Wisconsin gubernatorial contest features a crowded Democratic primary—where Rep. Francesca Hong leads Mandela Barnes slightly per the March 2026 Marquette poll (14%-11%, 65% undecided)—against U.S. Rep. Tom Tiffany's dominant Republican primary position (40% in Marquette, Trump-endorsed, Polymarket 88%). Early general polls (TIPP March 2026) show tight matchups, with Tiffany edging or tying top Democrats like Barnes (43%-41%) and Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez (44%-41%). Traders nonetheless price Democrats at 78.5% via incumbency party edge in recent cycles (Evers' 2018/2022 wins), doubts on Tiffany's statewide viability from northern Wisconsin, and post-April 7 Supreme Court momentum, ahead of August 11 primaries.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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