Randy Fine's status as the Republican incumbent, following his 2025 special election victory, underpins trader consensus at 92.5% for the August 18, 2026, primary in Florida's 6th Congressional District. His substantial fundraising edge, endorsements from local law enforcement, and established campaign infrastructure have constrained challengers such as influencer Dan Bilzerian and repeat candidate Aaron Baker. The solidly Republican district further reinforces this positioning. Late developments including major scandals, health issues, or unexpected visibility gains by opponents could still alter probabilities ahead of the primary.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoFL-06 Republican Primary Winner
FL-06 Republican Primary Winner
Randy Fine 93%
Dan Bilzerian 5.5%
Aaron Baker 2.0%
Alexandra Van Cleef 1.4%
$168,219 Wol.
$168,219 Wol.
Aug 18, 2026
Randy Fine
93%
Dan Bilzerian
6%
Aaron Baker
2%
Alexandra Van Cleef
1%
Charles Gambaro
<1%
Joshua Vasquez
<1%
Ernest Audino
<1%
Randy Fine 93%
Dan Bilzerian 5.5%
Aaron Baker 2.0%
Alexandra Van Cleef 1.4%
$168,219 Wol.
$168,219 Wol.
Aug 18, 2026
Randy Fine
$17,635 Wol.
93%
Dan Bilzerian
$53,853 Wol.
6%
Aaron Baker
$17,493 Wol.
2%
Alexandra Van Cleef
$37,489 Wol.
1%
Charles Gambaro
$11,618 Wol.
<1%
Joshua Vasquez
$10,983 Wol.
<1%
Ernest Audino
$19,148 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Randy Fine's status as the Republican incumbent, following his 2025 special election victory, underpins trader consensus at 92.5% for the August 18, 2026, primary in Florida's 6th Congressional District. His substantial fundraising edge, endorsements from local law enforcement, and established campaign infrastructure have constrained challengers such as influencer Dan Bilzerian and repeat candidate Aaron Baker. The solidly Republican district further reinforces this positioning. Late developments including major scandals, health issues, or unexpected visibility gains by opponents could still alter probabilities ahead of the primary.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 13, 2026, 6:52 PM ET
Wolumen
$168,219Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 13, 2026, 6:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Randy Fine's status as the Republican incumbent, following his 2025 special election victory, underpins trader consensus at 92.5% for the August 18, 2026, primary in Florida's 6th Congressional District. His substantial fundraising edge, endorsements from local law enforcement, and established campaign infrastructure have constrained challengers such as influencer Dan Bilzerian and repeat candidate Aaron Baker. The solidly Republican district further reinforces this positioning. Late developments including major scandals, health issues, or unexpected visibility gains by opponents could still alter probabilities ahead of the primary.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Wolumen
$168,219Data zakończenia
Aug 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 13, 2026, 6:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Randy Fine's status as the Republican incumbent, following his 2025 special election victory, underpins trader consensus at 92.5% for the August 18, 2026, primary in Florida's 6th Congressional District. His substantial fundraising edge, endorsements from local law enforcement, and established campaign infrastructure have constrained challengers such as influencer Dan Bilzerian and repeat candidate Aaron Baker. The solidly Republican district further reinforces this positioning. Late developments including major scandals, health issues, or unexpected visibility gains by opponents could still alter probabilities ahead of the primary.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania