Incumbent Democrat JB Pritzker seeks a third term against Republican Darren Bailey in the November 3, 2026, general election, a rematch of the 2022 contest that Pritzker won by roughly 13 points. Both candidates secured their party nominations in the March 17 primaries, with Pritzker unopposed and Bailey prevailing decisively on the Republican side. Available polling from late 2025 showed Pritzker ahead by about 20 points in a state that favored Democrats by nearly 11 points in the 2024 presidential race. Trader consensus reflected in current market pricing aligns with this structural advantage for the incumbent, bolstered by his fundraising edge and established voter base. An independent candidate has emerged and could modestly affect Republican vote shares if ballot access holds, though major shifts would require sustained changes in turnout patterns or unexpected campaign developments before Election Day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoIllinois Governor Election Winner
Illinois Governor Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
94%
Republican
6%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$4,086 Wol.
94%
Republican
$3,088 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat JB Pritzker seeks a third term against Republican Darren Bailey in the November 3, 2026, general election, a rematch of the 2022 contest that Pritzker won by roughly 13 points. Both candidates secured their party nominations in the March 17 primaries, with Pritzker unopposed and Bailey prevailing decisively on the Republican side. Available polling from late 2025 showed Pritzker ahead by about 20 points in a state that favored Democrats by nearly 11 points in the 2024 presidential race. Trader consensus reflected in current market pricing aligns with this structural advantage for the incumbent, bolstered by his fundraising edge and established voter base. An independent candidate has emerged and could modestly affect Republican vote shares if ballot access holds, though major shifts would require sustained changes in turnout patterns or unexpected campaign developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Rynek otwarty: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Wolumen
$7,174Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Democrat JB Pritzker seeks a third term against Republican Darren Bailey in the November 3, 2026, general election, a rematch of the 2022 contest that Pritzker won by roughly 13 points. Both candidates secured their party nominations in the March 17 primaries, with Pritzker unopposed and Bailey prevailing decisively on the Republican side. Available polling from late 2025 showed Pritzker ahead by about 20 points in a state that favored Democrats by nearly 11 points in the 2024 presidential race. Trader consensus reflected in current market pricing aligns with this structural advantage for the incumbent, bolstered by his fundraising edge and established voter base. An independent candidate has emerged and could modestly affect Republican vote shares if ballot access holds, though major shifts would require sustained changes in turnout patterns or unexpected campaign developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Wolumen
$7,174Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat JB Pritzker seeks a third term against Republican Darren Bailey in the November 3, 2026, general election, a rematch of the 2022 contest that Pritzker won by roughly 13 points. Both candidates secured their party nominations in the March 17 primaries, with Pritzker unopposed and Bailey prevailing decisively on the Republican side. Available polling from late 2025 showed Pritzker ahead by about 20 points in a state that favored Democrats by nearly 11 points in the 2024 presidential race. Trader consensus reflected in current market pricing aligns with this structural advantage for the incumbent, bolstered by his fundraising edge and established voter base. An independent candidate has emerged and could modestly affect Republican vote shares if ballot access holds, though major shifts would require sustained changes in turnout patterns or unexpected campaign developments before Election Day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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