The extended timeline to the 2028 Democratic National Convention keeps probabilities tightly clustered among leading options, with traders assigning roughly comparable weight to high-name-recognition figures amid broad uncertainty over the party's eventual ticket. No major candidate declarations or formal positioning have emerged to shift sentiment, leaving room for speculation around nontraditional names alongside established political figures. Key variables that could widen gaps include post-2026 midterm performance, potential early endorsements from party leaders, polling trends in battleground states, and any shifts in eligibility or interest from prominent Democrats. Resolution hinges on the vice-presidential selection at the convention, with current pricing reflecting crowd consensus on low-probability paths rather than settled frontrunner status.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoDemocratic VP Nominee 2028
George Clooney 30.8%
Barack Obama 29.9%
Chelsea Clinton 24.9%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 11%
$16,398 Wol.
$16,398 Wol.
Gavin Newsom
4%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
11%
Pete Buttigieg
4%
Josh Shapiro
3%
Wes Moore
3%
Stephen A. Smith
3%
Kamala Harris
1%
Gretchen Whitmer
9%
Andy Beshear
3%
Jon Ossoff
3%
Mark Cuban
3%
J.B. Pritzker
2%
Raphael Warnock
5%
Cory Booker
4%
Tim Walz
3%
Michelle Obama
3%
Mark Kelly
3%
Rahm Emanuel
<1%
Gina Raimondo
1%
Zohran Mamdani
6%
Roy Cooper
4%
John Fetterman
<1%
Jared Polis
1%
Jon Stewart
6%
Barack Obama
30%
Hillary Clinton
2%
Liz Cheney
12%
Bernie Sanders
5%
Phil Murphy
9%
LeBron James
1%
Hunter Biden
1%
George Clooney
31%
Chelsea Clinton
25%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
Oprah Winfrey
6%
Andrew Yang
1%
Beto O’Rourke
5%
Kim Kardashian
25%
Chris Murphy
2%
Ruben Gallego
6%
Ro Khanna
2%
James Talarico
7%
Elissa Slotkin
5%
George Clooney 30.8%
Barack Obama 29.9%
Chelsea Clinton 24.9%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 11%
$16,398 Wol.
$16,398 Wol.
Gavin Newsom
4%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
11%
Pete Buttigieg
4%
Josh Shapiro
3%
Wes Moore
3%
Stephen A. Smith
3%
Kamala Harris
1%
Gretchen Whitmer
9%
Andy Beshear
3%
Jon Ossoff
3%
Mark Cuban
3%
J.B. Pritzker
2%
Raphael Warnock
5%
Cory Booker
4%
Tim Walz
3%
Michelle Obama
3%
Mark Kelly
3%
Rahm Emanuel
<1%
Gina Raimondo
1%
Zohran Mamdani
6%
Roy Cooper
4%
John Fetterman
<1%
Jared Polis
1%
Jon Stewart
6%
Barack Obama
30%
Hillary Clinton
2%
Liz Cheney
12%
Bernie Sanders
5%
Phil Murphy
9%
LeBron James
1%
Hunter Biden
1%
George Clooney
31%
Chelsea Clinton
25%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
Oprah Winfrey
6%
Andrew Yang
1%
Beto O’Rourke
5%
Kim Kardashian
25%
Chris Murphy
2%
Ruben Gallego
6%
Ro Khanna
2%
James Talarico
7%
Elissa Slotkin
5%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 14, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The extended timeline to the 2028 Democratic National Convention keeps probabilities tightly clustered among leading options, with traders assigning roughly comparable weight to high-name-recognition figures amid broad uncertainty over the party's eventual ticket. No major candidate declarations or formal positioning have emerged to shift sentiment, leaving room for speculation around nontraditional names alongside established political figures. Key variables that could widen gaps include post-2026 midterm performance, potential early endorsements from party leaders, polling trends in battleground states, and any shifts in eligibility or interest from prominent Democrats. Resolution hinges on the vice-presidential selection at the convention, with current pricing reflecting crowd consensus on low-probability paths rather than settled frontrunner status.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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