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Polityka·Celebryci

Kto ogłosi wybory prezydenckie przed 2027 rokiem?

icon for Kto ogłosi wybory prezydenckie przed 2027 rokiem?
Polityka·Celebryci

Kto ogłosi wybory prezydenckie przed 2027 rokiem?

$986,831 Wol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$986,831 Wol.

Polymarket
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Kamala Harris

$51,292 Wol.

12%

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Rahm Emanuel

$11,034 Wol.

11%

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Tucker Carlson

$17,123 Wol.

11%

icon for Pete Buttigieg

Pete Buttigieg

$13,939 Wol.

11%

icon for Gavin Newsom

Gavin Newsom

$62,177 Wol.

10%

icon for Andy Beshear

Andy Beshear

$9,816 Wol.

10%

icon for Mark Kelly

Mark Kelly

$8,579 Wol.

10%

icon for Donald Trump

Donald Trump

$54,386 Wol.

9%

icon for Stephen A. Smith

Stephen A. Smith

$17,212 Wol.

9%

icon for Brian Kemp

Brian Kemp

$2,978 Wol.

9%

icon for Steve Bannon

Steve Bannon

$15,840 Wol.

9%

icon for Don Lemon

Don Lemon

$1,846 Wol.

8%

icon for Gretchen Whitmer

Gretchen Whitmer

$1,651 Wol.

8%

icon for Ted Cruz

Ted Cruz

$14,972 Wol.

8%

icon for Rand Paul

Rand Paul

$19,253 Wol.

8%

icon for Matt Gaetz

Matt Gaetz

$2,906 Wol.

8%

icon for Marjorie Taylor Greene

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$20,062 Wol.

8%

icon for J.B. Pritzker

J.B. Pritzker

$3,093 Wol.

8%

icon for Candace Owens

Candace Owens

$7,911 Wol.

7%

icon for Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$42,177 Wol.

7%

icon for Raphael Warnock

Raphael Warnock

$2,929 Wol.

7%

icon for Mark Cuban

Mark Cuban

$8,194 Wol.

7%

icon for George Clooney

George Clooney

$5,227 Wol.

7%

icon for Marco Rubio

Marco Rubio

$8,641 Wol.

6%

icon for Vivek Ramaswamy

Vivek Ramaswamy

$7,785 Wol.

6%

icon for Ron DeSantis

Ron DeSantis

$2,334 Wol.

6%

icon for J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance

$28,924 Wol.

6%

icon for John Thune

John Thune

$3,265 Wol.

6%

icon for Cory Booker

Cory Booker

$14,552 Wol.

5%

icon for Erika Kirk

Erika Kirk

$23,779 Wol.

5%

icon for Glenn Youngkin

Glenn Youngkin

$6,021 Wol.

5%

icon for Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$15,155 Wol.

5%

icon for Donald Trump Jr.

Donald Trump Jr.

$5,583 Wol.

5%

icon for Josh Shapiro

Josh Shapiro

$9,615 Wol.

5%

icon for Gina Raimondo

Gina Raimondo

$4,152 Wol.

4%

icon for Oprah Winfrey

Oprah Winfrey

$16,396 Wol.

4%

icon for Jared Polis

Jared Polis

$5,755 Wol.

4%

icon for Greg Abbott

Greg Abbott

$4,010 Wol.

4%

icon for Kristi Noem

Kristi Noem

$19,819 Wol.

4%

icon for Nikki Haley

Nikki Haley

$3,363 Wol.

4%

icon for Hunter Biden

Hunter Biden

$51,031 Wol.

4%

icon for Jon Stewart

Jon Stewart

$3,505 Wol.

3%

icon for Elise Stefanik

Elise Stefanik

$3,705 Wol.

3%

icon for Ivanka Trump

Ivanka Trump

$33,493 Wol.

3%

icon for Jon Ossoff

Jon Ossoff

$19,702 Wol.

3%

icon for Wes Moore

Wes Moore

$6,830 Wol.

3%

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$9,270 Wol.

3%

icon for Andrew Yang

Andrew Yang

$14,255 Wol.

3%

icon for MrBeast

MrBeast

$29,152 Wol.

3%

icon for Zohran Mamdani

Zohran Mamdani

$35,117 Wol.

3%

icon for Hillary Clinton

Hillary Clinton

$13,992 Wol.

3%

icon for Liz Cheney

Liz Cheney

$2,844 Wol.

3%

icon for Josh Hawley

Josh Hawley

$7,892 Wol.

2%

icon for Beto O’Rourke

Beto O’Rourke

$9,613 Wol.

2%

icon for Kim Kardashian

Kim Kardashian

$6,573 Wol.

2%

icon for Barack Obama

Barack Obama

$10,722 Wol.

2%

icon for Tom Brady

Tom Brady

$9,550 Wol.

2%

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Byron Donalds

$10,103 Wol.

2%

icon for Tim Walz

Tim Walz

$5,710 Wol.

2%

icon for John Fetterman

John Fetterman

$6,934 Wol.

2%

icon for LeBron James

LeBron James

$15,943 Wol.

2%

icon for Sarah Huckabee Sanders

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$7,605 Wol.

2%

icon for Michelle Obama

Michelle Obama

$14,252 Wol.

2%

icon for Tulsi Gabbard

Tulsi Gabbard

$6,160 Wol.

2%

icon for Roy Cooper

Roy Cooper

$6,434 Wol.

1%

icon for Phil Murphy

Phil Murphy

$3,837 Wol.

1%

icon for Chelsea Clinton

Chelsea Clinton

$13,278 Wol.

1%

icon for Bernie Sanders

Bernie Sanders

$3,391 Wol.

1%

icon for Katie Britt

Katie Britt

$25,960 Wol.

1%

icon for Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$10,695 Wol.

1%

icon for Mike Pence

Mike Pence

$15,536 Wol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As of August 2026, no major candidates have formally announced 2028 presidential campaigns, leaving trader consensus focused on exploratory activity and public signals from potential contenders. Recent developments include Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear hinting at a bid during a July 31 event, while Vice President JD Vance indicated he would weigh a run with family after the November 2026 midterms. Other figures such as Gretchen Whitmer have offered mixed comments on interest, and minor FEC filings have occurred without shifting frontrunner positioning. Key upcoming catalysts include midterm results that could reshape party dynamics and influence decisions on timing for announcements before the 2027 threshold. Structural factors like term limits and historical patterns of early versus late entries continue to shape positioning.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$986,831
Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As of August 2026, no major candidates have formally announced 2028 presidential campaigns, leaving trader consensus focused on exploratory activity and public signals from potential contenders. Recent developments include Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear hinting at a bid during a July 31 event, while Vice President JD Vance indicated he would weigh a run with family after the November 2026 midterms. Other figures such as Gretchen Whitmer have offered mixed comments on interest, and minor FEC filings have occurred without shifting frontrunner positioning. Key upcoming catalysts include midterm results that could reshape party dynamics and influence decisions on timing for announcements before the 2027 threshold. Structural factors like term limits and historical patterns of early versus late entries continue to shape positioning.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$986,831
Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Często zadawane pytania

"Kto ogłosi wybory prezydenckie przed 2027 rokiem?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 71+ możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Kamala Harris" z 12%, za nim "Rahm Emanuel" z 11%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 12¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 12% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Kto ogłosi wybory prezydenckie przed 2027 rokiem?" wygenerował $986.8K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Nov 19, 2025. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Kto ogłosi wybory prezydenckie przed 2027 rokiem?", przeglądaj 71+ dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Kto ogłosi wybory prezydenckie przed 2027 rokiem?" jest "Kamala Harris" z 12%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 12% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Rahm Emanuel" z 11%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Kto ogłosi wybory prezydenckie przed 2027 rokiem?" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.