No major-party candidates have made formal 2028 presidential announcements as of early August 2026, with only minor FEC filings and exploratory steps recorded. Trader pricing reflects this slow start, assigning single-digit to low-teen probabilities to figures such as Kamala Harris, Mark Kelly, or Rahm Emanuel declaring before 2027. Recent signals include Harris stating in July 2026 that she is “thinking about” a run, alongside scattered exploratory committees. The November 2026 midterms and subsequent party positioning are the next scheduled catalysts that could accelerate or delay early moves, consistent with historical patterns of post-election testing the waters rather than immediate launches.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$995,782 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
Kamala Harris
11%
Rahm Emanuel
11%
Tucker Carlson
10%
Gavin Newsom
10%
Andy Beshear
10%
Mark Kelly
10%
Pete Buttigieg
10%
Rand Paul
9%
Donald Trump
9%
Stephen A. Smith
9%
Brian Kemp
9%
Don Lemon
8%
Ted Cruz
8%
J.D. Vance
8%
Matt Gaetz
8%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
8%
Steve Bannon
8%
Candace Owens
7%
Gretchen Whitmer
7%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
7%
Raphael Warnock
7%
J.B. Pritzker
6%
Marco Rubio
6%
Mark Cuban
6%
Josh Shapiro
6%
George Clooney
6%
Greg Abbott
5%
Glenn Youngkin
5%
Cory Booker
5%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
5%
Erika Kirk
5%
Ron DeSantis
5%
Donald Trump Jr.
5%
Jared Polis
5%
Vivek Ramaswamy
5%
Gina Raimondo
4%
Oprah Winfrey
4%
Kristi Noem
4%
Hunter Biden
4%
Elise Stefanik
4%
Nikki Haley
4%
Ivanka Trump
4%
Elon Musk
4%
John Thune
4%
Jon Stewart
3%
Jon Ossoff
3%
Wes Moore
3%
MrBeast
3%
Liz Cheney
3%
Zohran Mamdani
3%
Hillary Clinton
3%
Josh Hawley
2%
Kim Kardashian
2%
Beto O’Rourke
2%
Andrew Yang
2%
Byron Donalds
2%
Barack Obama
2%
John Fetterman
2%
Tom Brady
2%
Tulsi Gabbard
2%
Michelle Obama
2%
LeBron James
2%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
2%
Tim Walz
2%
Phil Murphy
1%
Roy Cooper
1%
Chelsea Clinton
1%
Bernie Sanders
1%
Katie Britt
1%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
Mike Pence
1%
$995,782 Wol.
Kamala Harris
$52,857 Wol.
11%
Rahm Emanuel
$11,034 Wol.
11%
Tucker Carlson
$17,163 Wol.
10%
Gavin Newsom
$62,229 Wol.
10%
Andy Beshear
$9,816 Wol.
10%
Mark Kelly
$8,679 Wol.
10%
Pete Buttigieg
$13,955 Wol.
10%
Rand Paul
$19,279 Wol.
9%
Donald Trump
$57,034 Wol.
9%
Stephen A. Smith
$17,212 Wol.
9%
Brian Kemp
$2,978 Wol.
9%
Don Lemon
$1,846 Wol.
8%
Ted Cruz
$14,972 Wol.
8%
J.D. Vance
$29,279 Wol.
8%
Matt Gaetz
$2,906 Wol.
8%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
$20,062 Wol.
8%
Steve Bannon
$15,954 Wol.
8%
Candace Owens
$8,016 Wol.
7%
Gretchen Whitmer
$1,651 Wol.
7%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
$42,177 Wol.
7%
Raphael Warnock
$2,929 Wol.
7%
J.B. Pritzker
$3,512 Wol.
6%
Marco Rubio
$9,612 Wol.
6%
Mark Cuban
$8,495 Wol.
6%
Josh Shapiro
$9,699 Wol.
6%
George Clooney
$5,245 Wol.
6%
Greg Abbott
$4,010 Wol.
5%
Glenn Youngkin
$6,021 Wol.
5%
Cory Booker
$15,111 Wol.
5%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
$15,155 Wol.
5%
Erika Kirk
$23,800 Wol.
5%
Ron DeSantis
$2,365 Wol.
5%
Donald Trump Jr.
$5,583 Wol.
5%
Jared Polis
$5,755 Wol.
5%
Vivek Ramaswamy
$7,785 Wol.
5%
Gina Raimondo
$4,152 Wol.
4%
Oprah Winfrey
$16,396 Wol.
4%
Kristi Noem
$19,819 Wol.
4%
Hunter Biden
$51,031 Wol.
4%
Elise Stefanik
$3,705 Wol.
4%
Nikki Haley
$3,363 Wol.
4%
Ivanka Trump
$33,493 Wol.
4%
Elon Musk
$9,270 Wol.
4%
John Thune
$4,586 Wol.
4%
Jon Stewart
$3,505 Wol.
3%
Jon Ossoff
$19,702 Wol.
3%
Wes Moore
$6,830 Wol.
3%
MrBeast
$29,152 Wol.
3%
Liz Cheney
$2,844 Wol.
3%
Zohran Mamdani
$35,217 Wol.
3%
Hillary Clinton
$13,992 Wol.
3%
Josh Hawley
$7,892 Wol.
2%
Kim Kardashian
$6,573 Wol.
2%
Beto O’Rourke
$9,613 Wol.
2%
Andrew Yang
$14,255 Wol.
2%
Byron Donalds
$10,103 Wol.
2%
Barack Obama
$10,722 Wol.
2%
John Fetterman
$6,934 Wol.
2%
Tom Brady
$9,550 Wol.
2%
Tulsi Gabbard
$6,160 Wol.
2%
Michelle Obama
$14,346 Wol.
2%
LeBron James
$15,943 Wol.
2%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
$7,616 Wol.
2%
Tim Walz
$5,710 Wol.
2%
Phil Murphy
$3,837 Wol.
1%
Roy Cooper
$6,434 Wol.
1%
Chelsea Clinton
$13,278 Wol.
1%
Bernie Sanders
$3,391 Wol.
1%
Katie Britt
$25,960 Wol.
1%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
$10,695 Wol.
1%
Mike Pence
$15,536 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No major-party candidates have made formal 2028 presidential announcements as of early August 2026, with only minor FEC filings and exploratory steps recorded. Trader pricing reflects this slow start, assigning single-digit to low-teen probabilities to figures such as Kamala Harris, Mark Kelly, or Rahm Emanuel declaring before 2027. Recent signals include Harris stating in July 2026 that she is “thinking about” a run, alongside scattered exploratory committees. The November 2026 midterms and subsequent party positioning are the next scheduled catalysts that could accelerate or delay early moves, consistent with historical patterns of post-election testing the waters rather than immediate launches.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET
Wolumen
$995,782Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No major-party candidates have made formal 2028 presidential announcements as of early August 2026, with only minor FEC filings and exploratory steps recorded. Trader pricing reflects this slow start, assigning single-digit to low-teen probabilities to figures such as Kamala Harris, Mark Kelly, or Rahm Emanuel declaring before 2027. Recent signals include Harris stating in July 2026 that she is “thinking about” a run, alongside scattered exploratory committees. The November 2026 midterms and subsequent party positioning are the next scheduled catalysts that could accelerate or delay early moves, consistent with historical patterns of post-election testing the waters rather than immediate launches.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$995,782Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...No major-party candidates have made formal 2028 presidential announcements as of early August 2026, with only minor FEC filings and exploratory steps recorded. Trader pricing reflects this slow start, assigning single-digit to low-teen probabilities to figures such as Kamala Harris, Mark Kelly, or Rahm Emanuel declaring before 2027. Recent signals include Harris stating in July 2026 that she is “thinking about” a run, alongside scattered exploratory committees. The November 2026 midterms and subsequent party positioning are the next scheduled catalysts that could accelerate or delay early moves, consistent with historical patterns of post-election testing the waters rather than immediate launches.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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