Trader consensus heavily favors retired Lt. Col. Alexander Vindman at 89% implied probability to win Florida's Democratic U.S. Senate primary on August 18, driven by his dominant fundraising—$8.2 million raised in Q1 alone, outraising even Republican Sen. Ashley Moody last quarter—and key rival dropouts, including Hector Mujica's April 6 endorsement switch to a House bid. These developments, alongside earlier exits like Jennifer Jenkins post-Vindman's January launch, signal party consolidation behind his national profile from the 2019 Trump impeachment testimony and veteran credentials, appealing to key voting blocs in a ruby-red state. Trailing candidates like Rep. Jared Moskowitz hold slim chances amid filing deadline pressures by April 24, though a late high-profile entrant could shift dynamics.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAlexander Vindman 89.2%
Jared Moskowitz 6.6%
Josh Weil 1.3%
Joey Atkins 1.0%
$130,664 Wol.
$130,664 Wol.
Alexander Vindman
89%
Jared Moskowitz
7%
Josh Weil
1%
Joey Atkins
1%
Jennifer Jenkins
1%
Angie Nixon
<1%
Charlie Crist
<1%
Alan Grayson
<1%
Alexander Vindman 89.2%
Jared Moskowitz 6.6%
Josh Weil 1.3%
Joey Atkins 1.0%
$130,664 Wol.
$130,664 Wol.
Alexander Vindman
89%
Jared Moskowitz
7%
Josh Weil
1%
Joey Atkins
1%
Jennifer Jenkins
1%
Angie Nixon
<1%
Charlie Crist
<1%
Alan Grayson
<1%
If no 2026 Florida Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Rynek otwarty: Dec 2, 2025, 3:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Florida Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors retired Lt. Col. Alexander Vindman at 89% implied probability to win Florida's Democratic U.S. Senate primary on August 18, driven by his dominant fundraising—$8.2 million raised in Q1 alone, outraising even Republican Sen. Ashley Moody last quarter—and key rival dropouts, including Hector Mujica's April 6 endorsement switch to a House bid. These developments, alongside earlier exits like Jennifer Jenkins post-Vindman's January launch, signal party consolidation behind his national profile from the 2019 Trump impeachment testimony and veteran credentials, appealing to key voting blocs in a ruby-red state. Trailing candidates like Rep. Jared Moskowitz hold slim chances amid filing deadline pressures by April 24, though a late high-profile entrant could shift dynamics.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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