Incumbent Democrat Jon Ossoff holds a commanding lead in early polling averages for Georgia's 2026 U.S. Senate race, driving trader consensus to an 82% implied probability of a Democratic victory amid Republican primary disarray ahead of the May 19 contest. Recent Emerson College polling from early March showed Ossoff near 50% against top GOP contenders like Rep. Mike Collins, while his fundraising haul—over $25 million cash-on-hand—dwarfs rivals, per April 15 disclosures. Cook Political Report shifted the race to Lean Democrat on April 13, citing Ossoff's incumbency edge in this swing state, though GOP infighting could consolidate behind a stronger challenger post-primary, with the November 3 general potentially tightening if national midterm trends favor Republicans.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoGeorgia Senate Election Winner
Georgia Senate Election Winner
$21,373 Wol.
$21,373 Wol.

Democrat
82%

Republican
19%
$21,373 Wol.
$21,373 Wol.

Democrat
82%

Republican
19%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Rynek otwarty: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jon Ossoff holds a commanding lead in early polling averages for Georgia's 2026 U.S. Senate race, driving trader consensus to an 82% implied probability of a Democratic victory amid Republican primary disarray ahead of the May 19 contest. Recent Emerson College polling from early March showed Ossoff near 50% against top GOP contenders like Rep. Mike Collins, while his fundraising haul—over $25 million cash-on-hand—dwarfs rivals, per April 15 disclosures. Cook Political Report shifted the race to Lean Democrat on April 13, citing Ossoff's incumbency edge in this swing state, though GOP infighting could consolidate behind a stronger challenger post-primary, with the November 3 general potentially tightening if national midterm trends favor Republicans.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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