Arizona’s 6th congressional district remains one of the nation’s most competitive House seats, with an even partisan voter index reflecting near parity in recent presidential results. Incumbent Republican Juan Ciscomani has held the seat by narrow margins in prior cycles, while Democratic challenger JoAnna Mendoza has secured national party backing through the Red to Blue program and posted slight leads in early 2026 polling. The July 21 primary and November general election timelines, combined with Democratic efforts to expand their coalition in this battleground, have shaped trader assessments favoring the Democratic outcome. Forecasters rate the contest a toss-up, underscoring how candidate recruitment, fundraising momentum, and broader midterm dynamics could still shift the balance before Election Day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAZ-06 House Election Winner
AZ-06 House Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
16%
Democratic Party
54%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$969 Wol.
16%
Democratic Party
$490 Wol.
54%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona’s 6th congressional district remains one of the nation’s most competitive House seats, with an even partisan voter index reflecting near parity in recent presidential results. Incumbent Republican Juan Ciscomani has held the seat by narrow margins in prior cycles, while Democratic challenger JoAnna Mendoza has secured national party backing through the Red to Blue program and posted slight leads in early 2026 polling. The July 21 primary and November general election timelines, combined with Democratic efforts to expand their coalition in this battleground, have shaped trader assessments favoring the Democratic outcome. Forecasters rate the contest a toss-up, underscoring how candidate recruitment, fundraising momentum, and broader midterm dynamics could still shift the balance before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,459Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona’s 6th congressional district remains one of the nation’s most competitive House seats, with an even partisan voter index reflecting near parity in recent presidential results. Incumbent Republican Juan Ciscomani has held the seat by narrow margins in prior cycles, while Democratic challenger JoAnna Mendoza has secured national party backing through the Red to Blue program and posted slight leads in early 2026 polling. The July 21 primary and November general election timelines, combined with Democratic efforts to expand their coalition in this battleground, have shaped trader assessments favoring the Democratic outcome. Forecasters rate the contest a toss-up, underscoring how candidate recruitment, fundraising momentum, and broader midterm dynamics could still shift the balance before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$1,459Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona’s 6th congressional district remains one of the nation’s most competitive House seats, with an even partisan voter index reflecting near parity in recent presidential results. Incumbent Republican Juan Ciscomani has held the seat by narrow margins in prior cycles, while Democratic challenger JoAnna Mendoza has secured national party backing through the Red to Blue program and posted slight leads in early 2026 polling. The July 21 primary and November general election timelines, combined with Democratic efforts to expand their coalition in this battleground, have shaped trader assessments favoring the Democratic outcome. Forecasters rate the contest a toss-up, underscoring how candidate recruitment, fundraising momentum, and broader midterm dynamics could still shift the balance before Election Day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania