Recent polling averages show Democratic challenger JoAnna Mendoza edging incumbent Republican Juan Ciscomani by roughly 3 points in Arizona’s 6th District, a swing seat with an even Cook Partisan Voting Index. Mendoza’s stronger fundraising haul, exceeding $7 million compared to the incumbent’s totals, has supported field operations and advertising in the Tucson-area district ahead of the November 3 general election. Both candidates advanced unopposed in the July 21 primaries, leaving the race focused on turnout and national midterm dynamics. Race ratings from outlets such as Cook Political Report remain toss-ups, yet current trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party an 82.5% implied probability, reflecting the polling margin and resource edge while leaving room for shifts from late-cycle developments.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAZ-06 House Election Winner
AZ-06 House Election Winner
$11,580 Wol.
$11,580 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
83%
Republican Party
18%
$11,580 Wol.
$11,580 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,889 Wol.
83%
Republican Party
$7,690 Wol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent polling averages show Democratic challenger JoAnna Mendoza edging incumbent Republican Juan Ciscomani by roughly 3 points in Arizona’s 6th District, a swing seat with an even Cook Partisan Voting Index. Mendoza’s stronger fundraising haul, exceeding $7 million compared to the incumbent’s totals, has supported field operations and advertising in the Tucson-area district ahead of the November 3 general election. Both candidates advanced unopposed in the July 21 primaries, leaving the race focused on turnout and national midterm dynamics. Race ratings from outlets such as Cook Political Report remain toss-ups, yet current trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party an 82.5% implied probability, reflecting the polling margin and resource edge while leaving room for shifts from late-cycle developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
Wolumen
$11,580Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent polling averages show Democratic challenger JoAnna Mendoza edging incumbent Republican Juan Ciscomani by roughly 3 points in Arizona’s 6th District, a swing seat with an even Cook Partisan Voting Index. Mendoza’s stronger fundraising haul, exceeding $7 million compared to the incumbent’s totals, has supported field operations and advertising in the Tucson-area district ahead of the November 3 general election. Both candidates advanced unopposed in the July 21 primaries, leaving the race focused on turnout and national midterm dynamics. Race ratings from outlets such as Cook Political Report remain toss-ups, yet current trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party an 82.5% implied probability, reflecting the polling margin and resource edge while leaving room for shifts from late-cycle developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$11,580Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling averages show Democratic challenger JoAnna Mendoza edging incumbent Republican Juan Ciscomani by roughly 3 points in Arizona’s 6th District, a swing seat with an even Cook Partisan Voting Index. Mendoza’s stronger fundraising haul, exceeding $7 million compared to the incumbent’s totals, has supported field operations and advertising in the Tucson-area district ahead of the November 3 general election. Both candidates advanced unopposed in the July 21 primaries, leaving the race focused on turnout and national midterm dynamics. Race ratings from outlets such as Cook Political Report remain toss-ups, yet current trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party an 82.5% implied probability, reflecting the polling margin and resource edge while leaving room for shifts from late-cycle developments.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania