Arizona's 7th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt reflected in its D+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in recent presidential elections. Incumbent Representative Adelita Grijalva, who secured the seat in a 2025 special election, faces limited opposition in the July 2026 primary and general election cycle against Republican Daniel Butierez. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic based on voter registration patterns, past margins exceeding 40 points, and the absence of competitive challengers or redistricting changes. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee a 91.5% implied probability of victory, consistent with the seat's structural advantages. Late developments such as a national political shift, candidate withdrawal, or significant local scandal could narrow the gap, though none appear imminent ahead of the November 2026 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAZ-07 House Election Winner
AZ-07 House Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
7%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,090 Wol.
92%
Republican Party
$6,305 Wol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 7th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt reflected in its D+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in recent presidential elections. Incumbent Representative Adelita Grijalva, who secured the seat in a 2025 special election, faces limited opposition in the July 2026 primary and general election cycle against Republican Daniel Butierez. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic based on voter registration patterns, past margins exceeding 40 points, and the absence of competitive challengers or redistricting changes. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee a 91.5% implied probability of victory, consistent with the seat's structural advantages. Late developments such as a national political shift, candidate withdrawal, or significant local scandal could narrow the gap, though none appear imminent ahead of the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Wolumen
$9,395Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 7th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt reflected in its D+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in recent presidential elections. Incumbent Representative Adelita Grijalva, who secured the seat in a 2025 special election, faces limited opposition in the July 2026 primary and general election cycle against Republican Daniel Butierez. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic based on voter registration patterns, past margins exceeding 40 points, and the absence of competitive challengers or redistricting changes. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee a 91.5% implied probability of victory, consistent with the seat's structural advantages. Late developments such as a national political shift, candidate withdrawal, or significant local scandal could narrow the gap, though none appear imminent ahead of the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$9,395Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona's 7th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt reflected in its D+13 Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in recent presidential elections. Incumbent Representative Adelita Grijalva, who secured the seat in a 2025 special election, faces limited opposition in the July 2026 primary and general election cycle against Republican Daniel Butierez. Forecasters rate the race Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic based on voter registration patterns, past margins exceeding 40 points, and the absence of competitive challengers or redistricting changes. Trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee a 91.5% implied probability of victory, consistent with the seat's structural advantages. Late developments such as a national political shift, candidate withdrawal, or significant local scandal could narrow the gap, though none appear imminent ahead of the November 2026 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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