Wisconsin’s 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+26 and consistent expert ratings of Solid Democratic for the 2026 general election. Long-serving incumbent Gwen Moore faces limited primary opposition and no credible Republican challenger has emerged to narrow the gap ahead of the August primaries. This structural advantage, combined with the district’s voting history in recent presidential cycles, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic hold. A shift in odds would require an unforeseen development such as a late candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or significant change in turnout patterns that overcomes the district’s baseline partisan margin.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWI-04 House Election Winner
WI-04 House Election Winner
$23,469 Wol.
$23,469 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
3%
$23,469 Wol.
$23,469 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,364 Wol.
94%
Republican Party
$17,105 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin’s 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+26 and consistent expert ratings of Solid Democratic for the 2026 general election. Long-serving incumbent Gwen Moore faces limited primary opposition and no credible Republican challenger has emerged to narrow the gap ahead of the August primaries. This structural advantage, combined with the district’s voting history in recent presidential cycles, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic hold. A shift in odds would require an unforeseen development such as a late candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or significant change in turnout patterns that overcomes the district’s baseline partisan margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Wolumen
$23,469Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin’s 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+26 and consistent expert ratings of Solid Democratic for the 2026 general election. Long-serving incumbent Gwen Moore faces limited primary opposition and no credible Republican challenger has emerged to narrow the gap ahead of the August primaries. This structural advantage, combined with the district’s voting history in recent presidential cycles, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic hold. A shift in odds would require an unforeseen development such as a late candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or significant change in turnout patterns that overcomes the district’s baseline partisan margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$23,469Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wisconsin’s 4th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+26 and consistent expert ratings of Solid Democratic for the 2026 general election. Long-serving incumbent Gwen Moore faces limited primary opposition and no credible Republican challenger has emerged to narrow the gap ahead of the August primaries. This structural advantage, combined with the district’s voting history in recent presidential cycles, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic hold. A shift in odds would require an unforeseen development such as a late candidate withdrawal, major scandal, or significant change in turnout patterns that overcomes the district’s baseline partisan margin.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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