**Democratic nominee Rebecca Cooke holds a clear edge in trader consensus for Wisconsin’s 3rd congressional district, reflecting recent polling trends and the district’s competitive profile.** Incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden seeks a third term in this rematch of the narrow 2024 contest, but multiple surveys since early 2026 have shown Cooke ahead or even, including a June FM3 Research poll placing her at 50% to Van Orden’s 46%. The district’s narrow Republican lean in presidential voting and mixed favorability ratings for the incumbent have contributed to the positioning. With the August Democratic primary now resolved in Cooke’s favor and the November general election approaching, traders appear to weigh the race as one of the more accessible Democratic pickup opportunities among GOP-held seats.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWI-03 House Election Winner
WI-03 House Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
74%
Republican Party
27%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,967 Wol.
74%
Republican Party
$1,993 Wol.
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Democratic nominee Rebecca Cooke holds a clear edge in trader consensus for Wisconsin’s 3rd congressional district, reflecting recent polling trends and the district’s competitive profile.** Incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden seeks a third term in this rematch of the narrow 2024 contest, but multiple surveys since early 2026 have shown Cooke ahead or even, including a June FM3 Research poll placing her at 50% to Van Orden’s 46%. The district’s narrow Republican lean in presidential voting and mixed favorability ratings for the incumbent have contributed to the positioning. With the August Democratic primary now resolved in Cooke’s favor and the November general election approaching, traders appear to weigh the race as one of the more accessible Democratic pickup opportunities among GOP-held seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Wolumen
$5,960Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Democratic nominee Rebecca Cooke holds a clear edge in trader consensus for Wisconsin’s 3rd congressional district, reflecting recent polling trends and the district’s competitive profile.** Incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden seeks a third term in this rematch of the narrow 2024 contest, but multiple surveys since early 2026 have shown Cooke ahead or even, including a June FM3 Research poll placing her at 50% to Van Orden’s 46%. The district’s narrow Republican lean in presidential voting and mixed favorability ratings for the incumbent have contributed to the positioning. With the August Democratic primary now resolved in Cooke’s favor and the November general election approaching, traders appear to weigh the race as one of the more accessible Democratic pickup opportunities among GOP-held seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$5,960Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...**Democratic nominee Rebecca Cooke holds a clear edge in trader consensus for Wisconsin’s 3rd congressional district, reflecting recent polling trends and the district’s competitive profile.** Incumbent Republican Derrick Van Orden seeks a third term in this rematch of the narrow 2024 contest, but multiple surveys since early 2026 have shown Cooke ahead or even, including a June FM3 Research poll placing her at 50% to Van Orden’s 46%. The district’s narrow Republican lean in presidential voting and mixed favorability ratings for the incumbent have contributed to the positioning. With the August Democratic primary now resolved in Cooke’s favor and the November general election approaching, traders appear to weigh the race as one of the more accessible Democratic pickup opportunities among GOP-held seats.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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