Wisconsin’s 2nd congressional district, anchored by the college town of Madison and surrounding progressive-leaning areas, has consistently favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, with the incumbent securing over 70 percent in the 2024 general election. Mark Pocan, the sitting representative since 2013 and a member of the Congressional Progressive Caucus, faces only token primary opposition ahead of the August 11, 2026, contest and maintains a substantial fundraising edge. These structural advantages, combined with the district’s partisan voting history and limited Republican recruitment, underpin trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. A credible challenge would require either an unforeseen primary upset, a late personal or ethical controversy affecting the nominee, or an extraordinary national political shift capable of overcoming the area’s established electoral math.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWI-02 House Election Winner
WI-02 House Election Winner
$97,528 Wol.
$97,528 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
3%
$97,528 Wol.
$97,528 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$58,329 Wol.
94%
Republican Party
$39,200 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin’s 2nd congressional district, anchored by the college town of Madison and surrounding progressive-leaning areas, has consistently favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, with the incumbent securing over 70 percent in the 2024 general election. Mark Pocan, the sitting representative since 2013 and a member of the Congressional Progressive Caucus, faces only token primary opposition ahead of the August 11, 2026, contest and maintains a substantial fundraising edge. These structural advantages, combined with the district’s partisan voting history and limited Republican recruitment, underpin trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. A credible challenge would require either an unforeseen primary upset, a late personal or ethical controversy affecting the nominee, or an extraordinary national political shift capable of overcoming the area’s established electoral math.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Wolumen
$97,528Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin’s 2nd congressional district, anchored by the college town of Madison and surrounding progressive-leaning areas, has consistently favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, with the incumbent securing over 70 percent in the 2024 general election. Mark Pocan, the sitting representative since 2013 and a member of the Congressional Progressive Caucus, faces only token primary opposition ahead of the August 11, 2026, contest and maintains a substantial fundraising edge. These structural advantages, combined with the district’s partisan voting history and limited Republican recruitment, underpin trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. A credible challenge would require either an unforeseen primary upset, a late personal or ethical controversy affecting the nominee, or an extraordinary national political shift capable of overcoming the area’s established electoral math.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$97,528Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wisconsin’s 2nd congressional district, anchored by the college town of Madison and surrounding progressive-leaning areas, has consistently favored Democratic candidates in recent cycles, with the incumbent securing over 70 percent in the 2024 general election. Mark Pocan, the sitting representative since 2013 and a member of the Congressional Progressive Caucus, faces only token primary opposition ahead of the August 11, 2026, contest and maintains a substantial fundraising edge. These structural advantages, combined with the district’s partisan voting history and limited Republican recruitment, underpin trader consensus reflected in the current pricing. A credible challenge would require either an unforeseen primary upset, a late personal or ethical controversy affecting the nominee, or an extraordinary national political shift capable of overcoming the area’s established electoral math.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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