Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+21 Partisan Voter Index and incumbent Mark Pocan's consistent 70 percent-plus general election margins. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. With the Democratic primary set for August 11 and no prominent Republican challengers filed, traders assign overwhelming probability to the Democratic nominee prevailing. A late scandal affecting the eventual nominee, an unexpectedly strong Republican recruitment, or an unprecedented national midterm wave could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWI-02 House Election Winner
WI-02 House Election Winner
$91,245 Wol.
$91,245 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
97%
Republican Party
3%
$91,245 Wol.
$91,245 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$53,680 Wol.
97%
Republican Party
$37,565 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+21 Partisan Voter Index and incumbent Mark Pocan's consistent 70 percent-plus general election margins. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. With the Democratic primary set for August 11 and no prominent Republican challengers filed, traders assign overwhelming probability to the Democratic nominee prevailing. A late scandal affecting the eventual nominee, an unexpectedly strong Republican recruitment, or an unprecedented national midterm wave could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Wolumen
$91,245Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+21 Partisan Voter Index and incumbent Mark Pocan's consistent 70 percent-plus general election margins. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. With the Democratic primary set for August 11 and no prominent Republican challengers filed, traders assign overwhelming probability to the Democratic nominee prevailing. A late scandal affecting the eventual nominee, an unexpectedly strong Republican recruitment, or an unprecedented national midterm wave could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$91,245Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wisconsin's 2nd congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+21 Partisan Voter Index and incumbent Mark Pocan's consistent 70 percent-plus general election margins. Race ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 2026 general election. With the Democratic primary set for August 11 and no prominent Republican challengers filed, traders assign overwhelming probability to the Democratic nominee prevailing. A late scandal affecting the eventual nominee, an unexpectedly strong Republican recruitment, or an unprecedented national midterm wave could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such shifts improbable before Election Day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania