The Democratic nominee Matt Little holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Minnesota's 2nd congressional district, reflecting the open-seat dynamics after former Representative Angie Craig's withdrawal to pursue a U.S. Senate bid. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic, citing the district's suburban Twin Cities composition and recent voting patterns. Little secured the Democratic nomination in the August primary with a plurality over several challengers and maintains fundraising and polling advantages over Republican nominee Eric Pratt, a state senator who advanced unopposed. The implied probability aligns with historical base rates for similar open House seats in marginally Democratic-leaning areas. Late-cycle national shifts, turnout surges favoring Republicans, or unforeseen developments in the final weeks could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMN-02 House Election Winner
MN-02 House Election Winner
$27,639 Wol.
$27,639 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$27,639 Wol.
$27,639 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$9,339 Wol.
93%
Republican Party
$18,300 Wol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee Matt Little holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Minnesota's 2nd congressional district, reflecting the open-seat dynamics after former Representative Angie Craig's withdrawal to pursue a U.S. Senate bid. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic, citing the district's suburban Twin Cities composition and recent voting patterns. Little secured the Democratic nomination in the August primary with a plurality over several challengers and maintains fundraising and polling advantages over Republican nominee Eric Pratt, a state senator who advanced unopposed. The implied probability aligns with historical base rates for similar open House seats in marginally Democratic-leaning areas. Late-cycle national shifts, turnout surges favoring Republicans, or unforeseen developments in the final weeks could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Wolumen
$27,639Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee Matt Little holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Minnesota's 2nd congressional district, reflecting the open-seat dynamics after former Representative Angie Craig's withdrawal to pursue a U.S. Senate bid. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic, citing the district's suburban Twin Cities composition and recent voting patterns. Little secured the Democratic nomination in the August primary with a plurality over several challengers and maintains fundraising and polling advantages over Republican nominee Eric Pratt, a state senator who advanced unopposed. The implied probability aligns with historical base rates for similar open House seats in marginally Democratic-leaning areas. Late-cycle national shifts, turnout surges favoring Republicans, or unforeseen developments in the final weeks could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$27,639Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic nominee Matt Little holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Minnesota's 2nd congressional district, reflecting the open-seat dynamics after former Representative Angie Craig's withdrawal to pursue a U.S. Senate bid. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Likely Democratic, citing the district's suburban Twin Cities composition and recent voting patterns. Little secured the Democratic nomination in the August primary with a plurality over several challengers and maintains fundraising and polling advantages over Republican nominee Eric Pratt, a state senator who advanced unopposed. The implied probability aligns with historical base rates for similar open House seats in marginally Democratic-leaning areas. Late-cycle national shifts, turnout surges favoring Republicans, or unforeseen developments in the final weeks could narrow the margin before the November 3 general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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