South Dakota's at-large congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the June 2 primary, where Attorney General Marty Jackley secured the GOP nomination by a wide margin against limited opposition. The open contest, created when incumbent Dusty Johnson entered the gubernatorial race, features Democratic nominee Nicole Gronli and an independent candidate in the November general election. Traders assign overwhelming probability to a Republican victory given the state's consistent partisan voting patterns, strong historical margins for the party in federal contests, and the absence of competitive polling shifts. A major unforeseen development such as a candidate withdrawal, scandal, or significant national political realignment would be required to meaningfully alter the current market consensus.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoSD-AL House Election Winner
SD-AL House Election Winner
$16,931 Wol.
$16,931 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
6%
$16,931 Wol.
$16,931 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$9,474 Wol.
93%
Democratic Party
$7,457 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota's at-large congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the June 2 primary, where Attorney General Marty Jackley secured the GOP nomination by a wide margin against limited opposition. The open contest, created when incumbent Dusty Johnson entered the gubernatorial race, features Democratic nominee Nicole Gronli and an independent candidate in the November general election. Traders assign overwhelming probability to a Republican victory given the state's consistent partisan voting patterns, strong historical margins for the party in federal contests, and the absence of competitive polling shifts. A major unforeseen development such as a candidate withdrawal, scandal, or significant national political realignment would be required to meaningfully alter the current market consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Wolumen
$16,931Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota's at-large congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the June 2 primary, where Attorney General Marty Jackley secured the GOP nomination by a wide margin against limited opposition. The open contest, created when incumbent Dusty Johnson entered the gubernatorial race, features Democratic nominee Nicole Gronli and an independent candidate in the November general election. Traders assign overwhelming probability to a Republican victory given the state's consistent partisan voting patterns, strong historical margins for the party in federal contests, and the absence of competitive polling shifts. A major unforeseen development such as a candidate withdrawal, scandal, or significant national political realignment would be required to meaningfully alter the current market consensus.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$16,931Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Dakota's at-large congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat following the June 2 primary, where Attorney General Marty Jackley secured the GOP nomination by a wide margin against limited opposition. The open contest, created when incumbent Dusty Johnson entered the gubernatorial race, features Democratic nominee Nicole Gronli and an independent candidate in the November general election. Traders assign overwhelming probability to a Republican victory given the state's consistent partisan voting patterns, strong historical margins for the party in federal contests, and the absence of competitive polling shifts. A major unforeseen development such as a candidate withdrawal, scandal, or significant national political realignment would be required to meaningfully alter the current market consensus.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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