Democratic prospects lead the NY-17 House race at 68% implied probability, reflecting the competitive swing-district dynamics in New York's Hudson Valley and typical midterm headwinds for the party holding the White House. The Republican incumbent faces a rematch environment where voter turnout patterns, fundraising totals, and endorsements from local officials and national committees have kept the seat within reach for both sides. Recent primary outcomes and early general-election polling have reinforced trader assessments of a narrow but Democratic-leaning contest, though shifts in national economic indicators or late-cycle campaign spending could still alter the balance before November.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNY-17 House Election Winner
NY-17 House Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
68%
Republican Party
32%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,931 Wol.
68%
Republican Party
$3,564 Wol.
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic prospects lead the NY-17 House race at 68% implied probability, reflecting the competitive swing-district dynamics in New York's Hudson Valley and typical midterm headwinds for the party holding the White House. The Republican incumbent faces a rematch environment where voter turnout patterns, fundraising totals, and endorsements from local officials and national committees have kept the seat within reach for both sides. Recent primary outcomes and early general-election polling have reinforced trader assessments of a narrow but Democratic-leaning contest, though shifts in national economic indicators or late-cycle campaign spending could still alter the balance before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ET
Wolumen
$7,495Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic prospects lead the NY-17 House race at 68% implied probability, reflecting the competitive swing-district dynamics in New York's Hudson Valley and typical midterm headwinds for the party holding the White House. The Republican incumbent faces a rematch environment where voter turnout patterns, fundraising totals, and endorsements from local officials and national committees have kept the seat within reach for both sides. Recent primary outcomes and early general-election polling have reinforced trader assessments of a narrow but Democratic-leaning contest, though shifts in national economic indicators or late-cycle campaign spending could still alter the balance before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-17 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$7,495Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 12:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic prospects lead the NY-17 House race at 68% implied probability, reflecting the competitive swing-district dynamics in New York's Hudson Valley and typical midterm headwinds for the party holding the White House. The Republican incumbent faces a rematch environment where voter turnout patterns, fundraising totals, and endorsements from local officials and national committees have kept the seat within reach for both sides. Recent primary outcomes and early general-election polling have reinforced trader assessments of a narrow but Democratic-leaning contest, though shifts in national economic indicators or late-cycle campaign spending could still alter the balance before November.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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