**Democrat Chris Pappas holds an 82.5% implied probability in the New Hampshire Senate race due to the state's modest Democratic lean, the open seat created by Jeanne Shaheen's retirement, and his strong positioning in the September 8 Democratic primary.** Recent University of New Hampshire and Saint Anselm polling shows Pappas leading the general election matchup against likely Republican nominee John Sununu by narrow margins in most surveys, though a few late August polls indicate a statistical tie or slight Sununu edge. New Hampshire has not elected a Republican senator since 2010, and forecasters rate the contest Lean or Tilt Democratic. Traders appear to weigh the structural advantages for Democrats and the limited upside for Republicans in this environment more heavily than the closeness of head-to-head polling averages. The September 8 primaries and November 3 general election timeline remain key near-term catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNew Hampshire Senate Election Winner
New Hampshire Senate Election Winner
$93,279 Wol.
$93,279 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democrat
83%
Republican
18%
$93,279 Wol.
$93,279 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Democrat
$64,860 Wol.
83%
Republican
$28,420 Wol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**Democrat Chris Pappas holds an 82.5% implied probability in the New Hampshire Senate race due to the state's modest Democratic lean, the open seat created by Jeanne Shaheen's retirement, and his strong positioning in the September 8 Democratic primary.** Recent University of New Hampshire and Saint Anselm polling shows Pappas leading the general election matchup against likely Republican nominee John Sununu by narrow margins in most surveys, though a few late August polls indicate a statistical tie or slight Sununu edge. New Hampshire has not elected a Republican senator since 2010, and forecasters rate the contest Lean or Tilt Democratic. Traders appear to weigh the structural advantages for Democrats and the limited upside for Republicans in this environment more heavily than the closeness of head-to-head polling averages. The September 8 primaries and November 3 general election timeline remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Rynek otwarty: Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Wolumen
$93,279Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.**Democrat Chris Pappas holds an 82.5% implied probability in the New Hampshire Senate race due to the state's modest Democratic lean, the open seat created by Jeanne Shaheen's retirement, and his strong positioning in the September 8 Democratic primary.** Recent University of New Hampshire and Saint Anselm polling shows Pappas leading the general election matchup against likely Republican nominee John Sununu by narrow margins in most surveys, though a few late August polls indicate a statistical tie or slight Sununu edge. New Hampshire has not elected a Republican senator since 2010, and forecasters rate the contest Lean or Tilt Democratic. Traders appear to weigh the structural advantages for Democrats and the limited upside for Republicans in this environment more heavily than the closeness of head-to-head polling averages. The September 8 primaries and November 3 general election timeline remain key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Hampshire U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Wolumen
$93,279Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...**Democrat Chris Pappas holds an 82.5% implied probability in the New Hampshire Senate race due to the state's modest Democratic lean, the open seat created by Jeanne Shaheen's retirement, and his strong positioning in the September 8 Democratic primary.** Recent University of New Hampshire and Saint Anselm polling shows Pappas leading the general election matchup against likely Republican nominee John Sununu by narrow margins in most surveys, though a few late August polls indicate a statistical tie or slight Sununu edge. New Hampshire has not elected a Republican senator since 2010, and forecasters rate the contest Lean or Tilt Democratic. Traders appear to weigh the structural advantages for Democrats and the limited upside for Republicans in this environment more heavily than the closeness of head-to-head polling averages. The September 8 primaries and November 3 general election timeline remain key near-term catalysts.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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