Republican Blake Moore secured the UT-02 nomination after prevailing in the June 2026 GOP primary and now faces Democrat Peter Crosby in the November general election. The district’s R+15 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump’s 29-point 2024 margin reflect its structural Republican advantage across northern Utah counties. Moore’s incumbency, endorsements, and primary victory reinforce trader consensus at 94.5% for the Republican nominee. Crosby’s limited fundraising and the absence of competitive polling keep Democratic odds near 4.5%. A late scandal, Moore health event, or unprecedented national Democratic wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical patterns in similarly rated districts indicate such shifts remain improbable.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoUT-02 House Election Winner
UT-02 House Election Winner
$15,840 Wol.
$15,840 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
5%
$15,840 Wol.
$15,840 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$2,462 Wol.
95%
Democratic Party
$13,379 Wol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Blake Moore secured the UT-02 nomination after prevailing in the June 2026 GOP primary and now faces Democrat Peter Crosby in the November general election. The district’s R+15 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump’s 29-point 2024 margin reflect its structural Republican advantage across northern Utah counties. Moore’s incumbency, endorsements, and primary victory reinforce trader consensus at 94.5% for the Republican nominee. Crosby’s limited fundraising and the absence of competitive polling keep Democratic odds near 4.5%. A late scandal, Moore health event, or unprecedented national Democratic wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical patterns in similarly rated districts indicate such shifts remain improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Wolumen
$15,840Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Blake Moore secured the UT-02 nomination after prevailing in the June 2026 GOP primary and now faces Democrat Peter Crosby in the November general election. The district’s R+15 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump’s 29-point 2024 margin reflect its structural Republican advantage across northern Utah counties. Moore’s incumbency, endorsements, and primary victory reinforce trader consensus at 94.5% for the Republican nominee. Crosby’s limited fundraising and the absence of competitive polling keep Democratic odds near 4.5%. A late scandal, Moore health event, or unprecedented national Democratic wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical patterns in similarly rated districts indicate such shifts remain improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$15,840Data zakończenia
Nov 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Blake Moore secured the UT-02 nomination after prevailing in the June 2026 GOP primary and now faces Democrat Peter Crosby in the November general election. The district’s R+15 Partisan Voter Index and Donald Trump’s 29-point 2024 margin reflect its structural Republican advantage across northern Utah counties. Moore’s incumbency, endorsements, and primary victory reinforce trader consensus at 94.5% for the Republican nominee. Crosby’s limited fundraising and the absence of competitive polling keep Democratic odds near 4.5%. A late scandal, Moore health event, or unprecedented national Democratic wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical patterns in similarly rated districts indicate such shifts remain improbable.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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