Steve Toth secured the Republican nomination for Texas's 2nd congressional district after defeating incumbent Dan Crenshaw in the March 2026 primary, positioning the GOP nominee against Democrat Shaun Finnie in the November general election. The district's R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid or Safe Republican ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball reflect its suburban Houston composition and historical voting patterns favoring Republicans by wide margins. Trader consensus at 92% for the Republican outcome aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling or late-cycle developments that would signal a shift. A realistic challenge would require an unusually large national Democratic wave, major candidate-specific events, or turnout anomalies not currently evident in available data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTX-02 House Election Winner
TX-02 House Election Winner
$23,409 Wol.
$23,409 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
7%
$23,409 Wol.
$23,409 Wol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$11,629 Wol.
92%
Democratic Party
$11,780 Wol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Steve Toth secured the Republican nomination for Texas's 2nd congressional district after defeating incumbent Dan Crenshaw in the March 2026 primary, positioning the GOP nominee against Democrat Shaun Finnie in the November general election. The district's R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid or Safe Republican ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball reflect its suburban Houston composition and historical voting patterns favoring Republicans by wide margins. Trader consensus at 92% for the Republican outcome aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling or late-cycle developments that would signal a shift. A realistic challenge would require an unusually large national Democratic wave, major candidate-specific events, or turnout anomalies not currently evident in available data.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Wolumen
$23,409Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Steve Toth secured the Republican nomination for Texas's 2nd congressional district after defeating incumbent Dan Crenshaw in the March 2026 primary, positioning the GOP nominee against Democrat Shaun Finnie in the November general election. The district's R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid or Safe Republican ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball reflect its suburban Houston composition and historical voting patterns favoring Republicans by wide margins. Trader consensus at 92% for the Republican outcome aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling or late-cycle developments that would signal a shift. A realistic challenge would require an unusually large national Democratic wave, major candidate-specific events, or turnout anomalies not currently evident in available data.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$23,409Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Steve Toth secured the Republican nomination for Texas's 2nd congressional district after defeating incumbent Dan Crenshaw in the March 2026 primary, positioning the GOP nominee against Democrat Shaun Finnie in the November general election. The district's R+11 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid or Safe Republican ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball reflect its suburban Houston composition and historical voting patterns favoring Republicans by wide margins. Trader consensus at 92% for the Republican outcome aligns with this structural advantage and the absence of competitive polling or late-cycle developments that would signal a shift. A realistic challenge would require an unusually large national Democratic wave, major candidate-specific events, or turnout anomalies not currently evident in available data.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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